The clash between Atalanta and Bologna in the 37th round of Serie A promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the weekend. Following Inter’s triumph in the Coppa Italia, the European race has taken a new twist. The home side, currently seventh, have already secured a place in the next Conference League, while Bologna, sitting just behind in eighth, still have a slim chance of overtaking them. The match will take place on Sunday, May 17, 2026, at the New Balance Arena in Bergamo, and both teams are expected to approach it with attacking intent.

Atalanta’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Atalanta come into this fixture after an impressive 3-2 away victory over AC Milan on May 10, a result that confirmed their strong finish to the season. The goals in that match came from Ederson, Davide Zappacosta, and Giacomo Raspadori, underlining the team’s offensive depth. Despite being unable to climb higher in the standings, Atalanta are just one point away from mathematically securing seventh place and a confirmed European spot.

In Serie A this season, Atalanta have recorded 15 wins, 13 draws, and 8 defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match. Their home form has been particularly solid, with eight victories in their last twelve league games in Bergamo. Defensively, they have shown consistency, with at least one team failing to score at half time in 38 of their last 40 matches. This trend highlights their ability to control the tempo early on and limit opponents’ chances.

However, the team faces some selection issues. Hien is suspended, while Scalvini and Kossounou are sidelined through injury, forcing adjustments in defense. Kolasinac could be repositioned centrally to fill the gap. In midfield, Ederson and Pasalic are competing for a starting spot, while De Ketelaere and Samardzic are in contention for a role behind the striker. Despite these absences, Atalanta’s attacking options remain strong, and their home advantage could prove decisive.

Bologna’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Bologna travel to Bergamo with hopes of keeping their European dream alive, though the task ahead is complex. They must win this match by at least three goals and then defeat Inter in the final round, while also hoping Atalanta lose in Florence. The visitors are coming off an impressive 3-2 away win against Napoli on May 11, with goals from Federico Bernardeschi, Riccardo Orsolini, and Jonathan Rowe. That victory kept their faint hopes alive and showcased their attacking potential.

Over the course of the season, Bologna have achieved 15 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Their recent form, however, has been mixed — just one win in their last five matches, alongside one draw and three defeats. Defensively, they have struggled, conceding an average of two goals per match in that span. On the positive side, Bologna have been strong travelers, winning five of their last six away games, and leading at half time in eight of their last twelve away fixtures.

For this encounter, Bologna will be without the suspended Lucumì and the injured Cambiaghi, while Vitik and Casale remain doubtful. In goal, Skorupski is expected to start ahead of Pessina, while Bernardeschi and Sohm are competing for a place in the attacking midfield line behind Castro. Despite the absences, Bologna’s recent away record suggests they will not shy away from attacking opportunities, especially given the must-win nature of this match.

Atalanta vs Bologna Tactical Overview and Prediction

With both sides eager to end the season on a high, this fixture has all the ingredients for an open and entertaining contest. Atalanta will likely rely on their home strength and quick transitions to exploit Bologna’s defensive gaps, while Bologna must take risks in attack to keep their European hopes alive. The visitors’ need for goals could leave them exposed at the back, offering Atalanta chances to counter effectively.

Historically, the head-to-head record between these teams is balanced, with two wins each and one draw in their last five meetings. The most recent encounter ended 0-2 in favor of Bologna earlier this season. Given the attacking potential on both sides and the stakes involved, the match is expected to produce goals and excitement. The statistical trends also support this view: the Both Teams To Score – Yes market has a 60% probability, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 59%.

Atalanta’s home consistency and Bologna’s strong away form suggest that neither side will settle for a cautious approach. Expect a dynamic game with chances at both ends, where the first goal could open up the contest even further. The home side’s defensive absences could make them vulnerable, but their attacking rhythm remains a major threat.

Atalanta vs Bologna prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 60% probability.