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Prediction published on Feb 7, 2026 6:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Feb 7, 2026 6:01 PM
The 24th round of Serie A features an intriguing clash between Atalanta and Cremonese, two sides with very different ambitions as the season enters its decisive phase. The match, scheduled for Monday, February 9, 2026, promises to be a key test for both teams: Atalanta are pushing to return to European qualification spots, while Cremonese are fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone. The encounter at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo comes at a crucial moment, with both clubs under pressure to deliver results.
Atalanta have been one of the most consistent sides in Serie A since November, collecting 23 points in 12 league matches. Their recent 0-0 draw against Como extended their unbeaten run in the league to six games, with four wins and two draws. This solid sequence has lifted them to seventh place, just five points away from the European qualification zone. The team’s defensive resilience has been the foundation of this progress, conceding only one goal in those six matches.
In addition to their league form, Atalanta impressed in the Coppa Italia, defeating Juventus 3-0 at home on February 5. That victory highlighted their growing confidence and attacking sharpness. The Bergamo side have also won their last three Serie A home games, showing strong momentum in front of their fans. According to the season statistics, Atalanta have recorded 9 wins, 9 draws, and 5 defeats, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match.
Despite the suspension of Honest Ahanor and captain Marten de Roon, coach Raffaele Palladino can still rely on a deep squad. The return of Mitchel Bakker adds strength to the left flank, while Gianluca Scamacca is expected to lead the attack. Goalkeeper Marco Carnesecchi, formerly of Cremonese, has been outstanding, boasting a 96% save rate in 2026 and six clean sheets so far this year.
Cremonese enter this fixture in a difficult period. They have not won in their last nine Serie A matches, collecting only three points during that run. Their most recent outing ended in a 0-2 home defeat to Inter on February 1, underlining their struggles in both attack and defense. The team has scored just two goals in 2026 and failed to find the net in four consecutive matches. With 5 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses this season, Cremonese average 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, sitting 14th in the table.
Coach Davide Nicola will welcome back Tommaso Barbieri from suspension, while several key players remain sidelined through injury. The attacking duo of Federico Bonazzoli and Jamie Vardy are expected to start, though both have been stuck on five goals for some time. New signings Milan Djuric, Sebastiano Esposito, and Youssef Maleh featured against Inter and could again play a role in Bergamo. Despite their efforts, Cremonese’s lack of cutting edge in front of goal remains a major concern.
The contrast between the two sides could not be clearer. Atalanta are in excellent form, combining defensive solidity with attacking efficiency, while Cremonese are struggling to find rhythm and confidence. The head-to-head record also favors the hosts: Atalanta are unbeaten in their last five meetings with Cremonese, winning three and drawing two, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per game.
Given the current dynamics, Atalanta are expected to dominate possession and create more chances, especially at home where they have been particularly strong. Cremonese’s inability to score regularly and their defensive fragility suggest that the visitors will face a tough evening in Bergamo. The home side’s recent 3-0 win over Juventus further reinforces their status as clear favorites for this encounter.
Statistical indicators also point toward a low-scoring first half, as both teams often struggle to find early goals. However, Atalanta’s tendency to lead at half time in recent home matches could once again prove decisive. With a 66% probability of a home win, the numbers strongly back the hosts to secure another three points.
Atalanta vs Cremonese prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 66% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Atalanta
Cremonese
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
4
6
3
7
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
7
3
9
1