Atalanta host Frosinone at Gewiss Stadium on October 25 in a Serie A meeting between sides whose recent results tell different stories. Atalanta are 11th after three wins and four defeats in their opening seven league matches, while sixth-placed Frosinone have collected four wins, one draw and two losses. The hosts arrive following defeats to Milan in Serie A and Ajax in the Conference League, but have won three of their four home league games. Frosinone, meanwhile, responded to a loss against Napoli by beating Sassuolo 4-2. Atalanta’s strong home record against these visitors adds another dimension to a match in which the visitors’ attacking form will test an injury-hit defence.

Atalanta's Recent Form and Key Stats

Atalanta have lost four of their last five Serie A matches, as many defeats as they suffered in their previous 23 league games. Across their latest five matches in all competitions, they have two wins and three losses, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding 1.8 per game. Their most recent result was a 2-0 defeat to Ajax on October 22, a match in which they did not register a shot on target. It was another setback for Sarri as Atalanta seek a more consistent run of results.

Home performances offer more encouragement. Atalanta have won three of four Serie A games in Bergamo this season and four of their last six home fixtures across all competitions. Their seven league matches have produced averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. The contrast between their home results and their wider league form makes this fixture an opportunity to respond, although their recent difficulties cannot be overlooked.

Defensive availability is a concern: Sead Kolasinac, Giorgio Scalvini, Isak Hien and Odilon Kossounou are unavailable. Kamaldeen Sulemana and Giacomo Raspadori are also out, while Franck Kessie is doubtful with a calf problem. At the other end, Atalanta have scored eight goals in their last four matches. Nikola Krstovic has contributed four goals and an assist in four games against promoted teams in 2026, though the hosts will also want more from De Ketelaere and Ederson, whose recent performances have been below their usual level.

Frosinone's Recent Form and Key Stats

Newly promoted Frosinone have taken 13 points from their first seven Serie A fixtures. Their latest result, a 4-2 win over Sassuolo on October 16, followed a 2-0 defeat to Napoli. Over their last five matches, they have recorded three wins, one draw and one loss, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Their league-wide averages stand at 1.9 scored and 1.3 conceded per game, underlining the contribution of their attack to a promising start.

Antonio Raimondo has been central to that start, scoring seven goals in seven Serie A appearances, including a hat-trick. Frosinone have scored at least once in 37 of their last 39 matches, while their games have featured a first-half goal in each of the last ten. They have also led at half-time in seven of those ten fixtures. Those figures suggest the visitors have been capable of making an impact early, rather than relying solely on late goals.

Frosinone have averaged one shot for every 30 touches, compared with Atalanta’s 49 touches per shot. Their league matches have produced 259 attempts in total: 122 by Frosinone and 137 by their opponents. Only Cagliari have allowed more shots than Frosinone, so their willingness to create chances has come alongside opportunities for the opposition. Alvini will be without Grillitsch and Konè for this trip.

Atalanta vs Frosinone Match Analysis

The head-to-head record favours Atalanta. They have won all three of their home Serie A meetings with Frosinone without conceding, and their most recent meeting ended 5-0 on January 15, 2024. Across the five meetings covered by the head-to-head summary, Atalanta have three wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging three goals scored and 0.4 conceded. That history gives the hosts reason for confidence, particularly alongside their three home league wins this season.

Current form presents a different challenge from those past meetings. Atalanta have conceded an average of 1.8 goals across their last five matches and have allowed 126 shots in Serie A, while several defenders are unavailable. Frosinone arrive with six goals from their last three games and a scorer in Raimondo who has already made a significant impact. The visitors have also faced 137 league attempts themselves, giving Atalanta a clear opportunity to threaten despite their recent defeats.

This Atalanta vs Frosinone preview therefore balances the hosts’ home record and historical advantage against Frosinone’s stronger start to the season. Atalanta’s eight goals in four games show they can still produce in attack; Frosinone’s scoring record gives them grounds to test a depleted defence. With both sides generating goals but also allowing chances, the recent evidence points towards opportunities at both ends.

Atalanta vs Frosinone prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 59% probability.