On Sunday, November 9, at the New Balance Arena in Bergamo, the Lunch Match of Serie A Matchday 11 will feature Atalanta and Sassuolo — two sides level on points and eager to bounce back after an inconsistent spell. The home team showed strong character in midweek, responding well to their first Serie A defeat by earning a 0-1 win away at Olympique Marseille in the UEFA Champions League. It was a vital victory that restored confidence in the group, and Ivan Juric’s Atalanta will now aim to replicate that performance in Serie A, where they haven’t won for over a month. The goal is clear: return to full points to reignite their push for European qualification and improve their current 11th position in the table. On the other hand, Fabio Grosso’s Sassuolo are having a season above expectations, managing to keep pace with the Bergamo side. Their recent home defeat to Genoa exposed some limits: the Neroverdi can no longer afford to let their guard down, even if they still enjoy a comfortable seven-point cushion above the relegation zone. In Bergamo, an intense and meaningful clash is expected: Atalanta need a win to relaunch their European ambitions, while Sassuolo dream of an away upset that would add further credibility to their impressive first part of the season.

Atalanta's Recent Form and Key Stats

Atalanta come into this match after a 0-1 away win against Olympique Marseille in the Champions League on November 5, thanks to Lazar Samardzic’s third goal of the season. It was their first victory after six games across all competitions (5 draws, 1 defeat).

Despite the success at the Velodrome, recent performances have been mixed: 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last five matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. Juric’s side have lacked attacking sharpness but remain solid defensively.

After the first 10 Serie A rounds, La Dea currently sit in 11th place with 13 points — the result of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 1 defeat, with 13 goals scored and 8 conceded.

Atalanta have a strong home record: they remain unbeaten at the New Balance Arena this season and have lost only one of their last 10 Serie A home games. In this campaign, they have collected 7 points at home, coming from 1 win and 4 draws.

Sassuolo's Recent Form and Key Stats

In their last Serie A outing, Sassuolo suffered their fifth league defeat, losing 1-2 at home to Genoa. The Neroverdi went behind in the first half, managed to level through Domenico Berardi’s second league goal, but were eventually beaten by an Ostigard header in the closing minutes.

Fabio Grosso’s men have shown inconsistency: in their last five matches, they’ve recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Although still competitive, the defense has shown some cracks lately, conceding in each of the last three Serie A games.

The Emilia side currently sit in 12th place with 13 points, from 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, scoring 11 and conceding 12.

Away from home, Sassuolo had a poor start to the season, losing their first three away fixtures across Serie A and Coppa Italia. However, they have improved lately, remaining unbeaten in their last three league trips, with two wins (against Hellas Verona and Cagliari) and a draw (against Lecce).

Atalanta vs Sassuolo Prediction by BetMines

According to the BetMines algorithm, Atalanta are clear favorites to beat Sassuolo in this Serie A Matchday 11 Lunch Match. The home side have a 56% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 25% and an away victory at 19%.

Head-to-head stats strongly favor Ivan Juric’s men, who have won all of their last nine home games against Sassuolo in Bergamo. Still, despite Atalanta’s advantage, this looks set to be a tightly balanced contest given Sassuolo’s recent good away form.

Even though both teams possess attacking potential, BetMines expects a low-scoring encounter, with a high probability of fewer than three goals being scored overall — suggesting the Under 2.5 goals bet as one of the top tips. This outcome has occurred in each of Atalanta’s last seven matches, confirming their profile as a side that struggles to score but rarely concedes.

Tactically, Atalanta will look to dictate the tempo, while the visitors will rely on Armand Laurienté’s pace on the counter to threaten Marco Carnesecchi’s goal. Among the key players to watch are Nikola Krstovic, stuck at two league goals, and Domenico Berardi, who is chasing his 125th Serie A goal.

Probable Lineups Atalanta vs Sassuolo

ATALANTA (3-4-2-1): Carnesecchi; Djimsiti, Hien, Ahanor; Bellanova, Ederson, Pasalic, Zalewski; Samardzic, Lookman; Krstovic. Coach: Juric

SASSUOLO (4-3-3): Muric; Walukiewicz, Idzes, Muharemovic; Doig, Thorstvedt, Matic, Konè; Berardi, Pinamonti, Laurienté. Coach: Grosso