On Matchday 27 of Serie A, Atalanta, led by Gian Piero Gasperini, hosts Venezia, managed by Eusebio Di Francesco, at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo. Atalanta is back in the title race after a dominant 5-0 away victory against Empoli, closing a disappointing February that saw them eliminated from both the Coppa Italia and Champions League. With that win and Napoli’s defeat against Como, Atalanta is now just three points behind league leaders Inter, making this match against Venezia a crucial opportunity to edge even closer to the top, especially with the highly anticipated Napoli vs Inter showdown on the same matchday. However, history has shown that Atalanta has often struggled in decisive matches, with the Europa League final being a rare exception. Gasperini will need to ensure his team remains focused, but the 5-0 win against Empoli demonstrated Atalanta’s intent to fight for the Scudetto until the very end.

Atalanta's Shape and Key Statistics

With five goals against Empoli, Atalanta now boasts Serie A’s best attack alongside Inter, with 59 goals scored this season. Their offensive prowess is undeniable, having netted 10 goals in their last three league matches. However, Atalanta’s defensive improvements are just as noteworthy.

Despite missing Scalvini, Kossonou, and Hien, Atalanta has kept a clean sheet in their last three Serie A matches. Additionally, Gasperini’s side has lost only one of their last 20 league games and has been defeated just once in their last 10 home fixtures—a 1-2 loss against Napoli on January 18.

Venezia's Shape and Key Statistics

Venezia managed to stop a three-game losing streak with a 0-0 draw against Lazio. However, their relegation battle remains difficult as they are now six points behind safety, following Parma’s victory over Bologna. One of their biggest concerns is their lack of goals, having failed to score in three consecutive matches.

Their away record is equally troubling—Venezia is yet to win a single away game this season, with four draws and nine defeats. They have averaged 0.76 goals per match away from home while conceding two per game. Despite these struggles, Venezia has scored in three of their last five away matches, providing a slight glimmer of hope for their trip to Bergamo.

Atalanta vs Venezia Prediction and Tactical Overview

With no distractions from European competitions, Gasperini is expected to field his strongest lineup in pursuit of all three points. In attack, De Ketelaere and Lookman will support Serie A top scorer Retegui, who has 21 goals this season.

Di Francesco, on the other hand, will look to Zerbin, one of Venezia’s top performers against Lazio, and Oristanio to trouble Atalanta’s defense. Up front, the Maric vs Fila battle for the starting striker position continues, but neither has lived up to their predecessor, Joel Pohjanpalo.

Atalanta enters this match as the clear favorite, having won the last four head-to-head meetings against Venezia. Given Atalanta’s offensive firepower, the BetMines algorithm’s prediction for Atalanta vs Venezia leans towards an Over 2.5 goals outcome.

• The BetMines prediction for the Atalanta vs Venezia match predicts Over 2.5 goals at 61%
• The BetMines prediction for the Atalanta vs Venezia match predicts Under 2.5 goals at 39%

Predicted Lineups Atalanta vs Venezia

ATALANTA (3-4-2-1): Carnesecchi; Posch, Djimsiti, Kolasinac; Bellanova, Ederson, de Roon, Zappacosta; De Ketelaere, Lookman; Retegui. Coach: Gasperini

VENEZIA (3-5-2): Radu; Candé, Idzes, Marcandalli; Zerbin, Perez, Nicolussi Caviglia, Busio, Ellertsson; Oristanio, Maric. Coach: Di Francesco