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Athletic Club
4:30 PM
September 12, 2026
Elche
Prediction published on Sep 10, 2026 4:33 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Sep 10, 2026 4:33 PM
Athletic Club welcome Elche to San Mamés Barria in a La Liga fixture scheduled for September 12, 2026, at 16:30 local time. The hosts enter the game with renewed confidence after recovering from defeats in their opening two league matches to record consecutive victories over Celta and Atlético de Madrid. Elche, meanwhile, are still looking for their first league win of the season after collecting one point from four games. The contrast in form gives Athletic Club a clear opportunity to extend their positive run, while the visitors travel to Bilbao needing to respond after another painful defeat against Real Sociedad.
Athletic Club began their La Liga campaign with two losses. They were beaten 1-3 at home by Sevilla in a contest influenced by defensive mistakes and an early numerical disadvantage, before suffering a 2-0 defeat against Barcelona. However, the team have since changed direction with two convincing results.
Athletic first earned a 0-2 away victory against Celta and then defeated Atlético de Madrid 3-0 on September 5. The latter success was built around a fast start to the second half, when the home side scored twice in quick succession. Those victories have taken Athletic Club to a league record of two wins and two defeats, placing them 10th in La Liga.
Their season averages stand at 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. Across their last five fixtures, Athletic have registered two wins and three losses, scoring and conceding an average of 1.2 goals. Second-half action has been particularly common in their league matches, with at least one goal after the interval in 26 of their last 28 La Liga games.
Terzic has four unavailable players for this match. Canales, Beñat Prados, Vivian and Guruzeta are all ruled out with physical problems. Even with those absences, the hosts will be encouraged by the impact of Nico Williams and Iñaki Williams against Atlético de Madrid.
Elche return to La Liga action without a victory from their first four games. They opened the season by taking a point in a 1-1 draw at Riazor, but their following matches produced three consecutive defeats. Barcelona handed them a 0-5 loss, Racing beat them 3-2 at El Sardinero, and Real Sociedad claimed another 2-3 result on September 7.
The defeat to Real Sociedad was especially frustrating because Elche recovered from two goals down and reached 2-2 before conceding the decisive goal in stoppage time, despite holding a numerical advantage. Their current league record is one draw and three defeats, leaving them 19th in the standings.
Elche are averaging 1.3 goals scored per La Liga match, but their defensive average of 3.0 goals conceded underlines their main difficulty. Their last five matches across the available sequence brought one win, one draw and three defeats, with averages of 1.6 goals scored and 2.4 allowed.
The away statistics also highlight the challenge awaiting the visitors. Elche have conceded at least once in each of their last 18 away matches in La Liga, while all 18 featured at least one second-half goal. The same patterns are present across their last 14 away fixtures overall. In addition, Elche have been behind at half-time in each of their last four league games.
Santiago and Adam Boayar are unavailable and will not travel for the match. Elche must therefore attempt to improve their results while dealing with two confirmed absences.
Athletic Club (4-2-3-1): Unai Simón; J. Areso, Paredes, Laporte, Berchiche; Galarreta, Gerenabarrena; Navarro, Sancet, Nico Williams; Iñaki Williams.
Elche (3-5-2): The options listed for the visitors are Dituro; Bigas, Chust, Sangaré; Valera, Villar, Morcillo, Buonanotte and Tete Morente.
The available form and season statistics point toward Athletic Club holding the stronger position. The hosts have won their last two games without conceding, including a 3-0 victory over Atlético de Madrid, while Elche have taken only one point from four league fixtures. The win probabilities also favor the home side at 57%, compared with 25% for the draw and 19% for an Elche victory.
Elche have shown an ability to respond during matches, scoring twice against both Racing and Real Sociedad, but their defensive record remains a major concern. They have allowed an average of three goals per league game and have conceded in 18 consecutive La Liga away fixtures. Athletic's improved results should allow the home team to approach the match with confidence, although their own recent five-game record of three defeats means the contest cannot be treated as automatic.
The second half could be decisive. At least one goal after the break has been recorded in 26 of Athletic Club's last 28 league matches and in 31 of Elche's last 33 La Liga fixtures. Elche's run of four consecutive league games in which they have trailed at half-time also suggests that they cannot afford another slow opening at San Mamés Barria.
The head-to-head figures provide further support for Athletic Club. In the supplied five-match summary, the hosts have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat against Elche, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Athletic also won the latest meeting 2-1 on February 20, 2026. With consecutive victories behind them and Elche continuing to concede regularly, the home side have the clearest statistical edge.
Athletic Club vs Elche prediction from BetMines: Athletic Club win (1) with 57% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Athletic Club
Elche
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
7
3
5
5
4.5
10
0
7
3