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Athletic Club vs Villarreal Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | La Liga 12-04-2026

Athletic Club

1 - 2

FT

Villarreal

San Mamés Barria
José Luis Guzmán Mansilla
light rain 9.76 °C

Prediction published on Apr 11, 2026 2:01 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Apr 11, 2026 2:01 PM

The clash between Athletic Club and Villarreal CF promises to be one of the most balanced and exciting fixtures of LaLiga EA Sports matchday 31. The match will take place at San Mamés, where the atmosphere is expected to be electric as two sides with attacking intent face off. Both teams come into this encounter looking to bounce back from defeats in their previous outings, and with European qualification ambitions still alive, the stakes could not be higher.


Athletic Club’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Athletic Club approach this fixture after a 2-0 defeat against Getafe on April 5, 2026. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five matches, alongside four losses. During that stretch, they have averaged just 0.4 goals scored per game while conceding 1.6. Over the course of the season, their record in LaLiga stands at 11 wins, 5 draws, and 14 defeats, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.


Defensively, the Basque side have struggled to maintain clean sheets, having conceded at least one goal in each of their last 20 matches. Moreover, every one of their last 14 league games has seen them concede, highlighting a vulnerability at the back that could be exploited by Villarreal’s attacking players. However, their matches tend to come alive after the break, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half of each of their last 16 LaLiga fixtures.


Despite these defensive issues, San Mamés remains a ground where Athletic Club often find extra motivation. The support of their fans could play a crucial role as they aim to recover from recent setbacks and push for a European spot. The team’s attacking core, featuring players such as Iñaki Williams, Oihan Sancet, Nico Williams, and Gorka Guruzeta, will be key to reigniting their scoring touch. The only confirmed absence for this match is Beñat Prados, which gives the coach the opportunity to field a strong lineup.


Villarreal CF’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Villarreal CF also suffered defeat in their last outing, losing 1-0 to Girona on April 6, 2026. Nonetheless, their overall form has been steadier than their opponents’, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. The “Submarino Amarillo” have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in that period. Over the full season, they have been one of the most consistent sides in LaLiga, boasting 18 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.


Villarreal’s attacking power has been a major factor in their strong campaign, but their away form has shown some weaknesses. They have lost at half time in each of their last three away league matches, suggesting a tendency to start slowly on the road. Still, their matches are rarely dull — over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 27 of their last 29 LaLiga games, underlining their ability to produce late drama.


In terms of personnel, Villarreal will be without Juan Foyth, Logan Costa, and Pau Cabanes, but they retain a deep and talented squad. Key figures such as Pape Gueye, Pépé, Alberto Moleiro, Gerard Moreno, and Georges Mikautadze are expected to lead the charge as the team looks to consolidate its position near the top of the table. Currently sitting third in LaLiga, Villarreal’s objective remains to secure a top-three finish and a return to the UEFA Champions League.


Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview


The recent head-to-head record between these two sides slightly favors Athletic Club, who have recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat in their last five meetings with Villarreal. The most recent encounter ended 1-0 in favor of the Basques on September 27, 2025. On average, these matches have been tight affairs, with Athletic scoring 1.2 goals per game and conceding 0.8.


Given both teams’ attacking tendencies, this fixture could produce goals, especially in the second half. Athletic’s defensive fragility contrasts with Villarreal’s offensive efficiency, setting the stage for a dynamic and open contest. The home side will rely on their intensity and crowd support to unsettle Villarreal, while the visitors will look to exploit spaces on the counterattack and use their technical quality to control possession.


Both teams have plenty to play for — Athletic are fighting to keep their European hopes alive, while Villarreal are aiming to strengthen their grip on a Champions League spot. The balance of power may tilt slightly toward the visitors given their superior league position, but San Mamés has often been a difficult ground for any opponent.


BetMines Prediction


According to the latest data, the probabilities for the 1X2 market are as follows: Athletic Club win (1) 46%, Draw (X) 25%, and Villarreal win (2) 28%. The Both Teams To Score – Yes outcome stands at 55%, while Over 2.5 goals has a 52% likelihood. Considering the attacking profiles and recent defensive records of both sides, the BetMines prediction leans toward Over 2.5 goals with a 52% probability.

Athletic Club vs Villarreal - Predictions

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Athletic Club vs Villarreal: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Athletic Club

Villarreal

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

10%

1

90%

9

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

40%

4

60%

6

30%

3

70%

7

3.5

70%

7

30%

3

50%

5

50%

5

4.5

100%

10

0%

0

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Athletic Club and Villarreal in La Liga

Who will win ?

Athletic Club vs Villarreal: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Athletic Club vs Villarreal be played?
The La Liga match between Athletic Club and Villarreal will be played on April 12, 2026 at 19:00.
Where will Athletic Club vs Villarreal be played?
The match between Athletic Club and Villarreal will be played at San Mamés Barria, Bilbao - Spain
Who will referee Athletic Club vs Villarreal?
The referee for the match will be José Luis Guzmán Mansilla.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Athletic Club vs Villarreal in the La Liga?
The odds are: Athletic Club to win 2.00, draw 3.50, Villarreal to win 3.70.
What are the betting odds for Athletic Club vs Villarreal for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the La Liga?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.90 and Under 2.5 at 1.90.
Will both Athletic Club and Villarreal score in the La Liga?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.75, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.00.
What is the most likely correct score for Athletic Club vs Villarreal in the La Liga?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Athletic Club and Villarreal?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Athletic Club and Villarreal, Athletic Club won 2 times, Villarreal won 1, and 2 ended in a draw.

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