The clash between Athletico-PR and Vitória promises to be one of the highlights of the 13th round of the Brasileirão. Scheduled for Sunday, April 26, at 18:30 (Brasília time), the match will take place at the Arena da Baixada, where the home side will look to capitalize on their strong record in front of their fans. Both teams arrive with contrasting ambitions: while the hosts aim to stay close to the top of the table, the visitors seek to maintain their recent unbeaten streak and climb further up the standings.

Athletico-PR’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Athletico-PR currently sit 6th in the Serie A standings with 19 points from 12 matches. Despite a solid start to the season, their recent form has been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five games across all competitions. The team’s most recent outing ended in a 0-0 draw against Atlético Goianiense on April 24, a result that extended their winless run at home. In the league, their record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 5 defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match.

At the Arena da Baixada, the Furacão remain a tough opponent. Under 3.5 goals have been scored in 19 of their last 20 home matches, reflecting a pattern of tight, low-scoring games. They have also avoided losing at half time in 18 of those 20 fixtures, showing resilience even when not at their best. However, their recent statistics reveal some vulnerability, having lost at half time in 6 of their last 10 Serie A matches.

In terms of personnel, Athletico-PR will be without Jadson, who is suspended after receiving his third yellow card. On the positive side, Mendoza is expected to return to the lineup after being rested in the previous match. The team’s attack will once again rely on Kevin Viveros, the club’s top scorer with six goals, and Mendoza, who has contributed four goals so far this season. Together, they form a dynamic duo capable of breaking down even the most disciplined defenses.

• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats


• Average goals scored: 0.6 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.2 per match


• Home record trend: unbeaten at half time in 18 of last 20 home games

Vitória’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Vitória arrive in Curitiba sitting 11th in the table with 15 points and a record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats. The team’s recent performances have been steady, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. Their most recent result was a 2-1 defeat to Flamengo on April 23, following a 0-0 draw with Corinthians. Despite these setbacks, the Leão da Barra have shown improvement in the league, remaining unbeaten in their last three Serie A fixtures.

Offensively, Vitória have averaged 1.0 goal per match while conceding 1.3, numbers that highlight their balanced but cautious approach. Much like their opponents, their games tend to be low-scoring: under 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 10 matches. Away from home, however, they have struggled to impose themselves early, losing at half time in 9 of their last 15 away fixtures in Serie A.

Coach Jair Ventura faces some uncertainty regarding his lineup, as both Erick and Ramon are doubtful after sustaining knocks in the previous match. Nevertheless, the team’s structure remains compact, with a focus on defensive organization and quick transitions. The likely starting eleven includes Lucas Arcanjo in goal, supported by defenders Pablo, Cacá, Luan Cândido, and Edenilson. In attack, Renê will lead the line, assisted by Marinho and Matheuzinho.

• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats


• Average goals scored: 0.8 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.2 per match


• Under 3.5 goals: in all of their last 10 matches

Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview

The historical record between these two sides slightly favors Athletico-PR, who have won four of the last five meetings, losing only once. The most recent encounter ended 1-2 in favor of Vitória on November 2, 2024, but the overall goal average in this fixture stands at 2.2 scored and 1.0 conceded by the Furacão. At home, Athletico have dominated, winning five of their last six matches against the Bahia-based club.

Tactically, the hosts are expected to adopt an offensive stance, pressing high and seeking to exploit Vitória’s defensive fragility. The return of Mendoza adds pace and creativity to the attack, while Viveros’ finishing ability remains a key weapon. Vitória, on the other hand, will likely focus on compact defending and counterattacks, aiming to frustrate their opponents and capitalize on set pieces or quick transitions.

Given both teams’ recent trends, a low-scoring contest seems likely. Athletico’s defensive consistency at home and Vitória’s cautious approach suggest that the match could be decided by fine margins, possibly through individual brilliance or a set-piece opportunity.

Probable Lineups Athletico-PR vs Vitória

ATHLETICO-PR: Santos; Aguirre, Arthur Dias, Carlos Terán; Gilberto, Luiz Gustavo, Juan Portilla, Esquivel; Steven Mendoza, Dudu, Kevin Viveros.
VITÓRIA: Lucas Arcanjo; Pablo, Cacá, Luan Cândido, Edenilson; Zé Vitor, Caique; Marinho (Erick), Emmanuel Martínez, Matheuzinho; Renê.

Athletico-PR vs Vitória Prediction

All indicators point toward a tight and competitive encounter, but the home advantage and attacking depth of Athletico-PR could prove decisive. Their strong record at the Arena da Baixada, combined with Vitória’s inconsistent away form, makes the Furacão the favorites to secure all three points. Expect a disciplined performance from the visitors, but the hosts’ offensive quality should ultimately prevail.

Athletico-PR vs Vitória prediction from BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 64% probability.