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Atlético de Madrid
7:00 PM
October 24, 2026
Deportivo A Coruña
Prediction published on Oct 22, 2026 7:12 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Oct 22, 2026 7:12 PM
Atlético de Madrid host Deportivo A Coruña at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano on October 24, with kick-off scheduled for 19:00 local time. The La Liga fixture renews a league rivalry that has been absent for eight years. Atlético enter the match second in the table after five consecutive league wins, while ninth-placed Deportivo are looking to recover from a dip in results. The contrast in recent form is clear, but Deportivo’s record of scoring in 21 of their last 22 matches gives the visitors reason to believe they can make this a contest.
Atlético are unbeaten in seven matches across La Liga and the Champions League. Their five most recent games have brought four wins and a draw, with averages of 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. That run includes a 1-1 draw against VfB Stuttgart on October 20. In the league, Atlético have seven wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 2.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Home form has been another strength. Atlético have recorded four wins and a draw at the Metropolitano this season, and they led at half-time in two of their last three home matches. Their recent results include a 4-0 win over Osasuna, a 2-1 victory against Real Madrid and a 2-0 win over Manchester United. The latter was settled after Atlético had already taken control in the first half.
They have also found ways to win difficult matches away from home. Atlético beat Alavés 2-1 with a late goal, while Baena scored in the 88th minute to secure a 1-0 league victory over Espanyol. Baena has five goals and three assists across La Liga and the Champions League. In domestic competition, Jonathan David has contributed three goals and two assists, while Giuliano Simeone has two goals and two assists. Atlético will be without Koke and Cuti Romero.
Deportivo A Coruña began the season with five unbeaten matches, but their last five have produced three draws, two defeats and no wins. During that stretch, they have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their La Liga record stands at two wins, five draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded.
A 1-0 defeat to Sevilla interrupted Deportivo’s unbeaten start. They subsequently drew 1-1 with Betis, lost 3-2 away to Real Sociedad and drew 1-1 with Levante on October 16. The Sociedad match showed their ability to respond after a poor first half: Deportivo trailed 2-0 at the break before scoring twice after the interval. Their away results remain a concern, though, with just one win in five trips.
The absence of Aubameyang has been significant. He registered five goals and two assists before a knee injury halted his appearances. Yeremay has started Deportivo’s last two matches and has a goal and an assist, while Mario Soriano has contributed one goal and two assists. Deportivo are also without Casadó, Ede and Eddahchouri for this fixture.
Atlético de Madrid: Oblak; Hancko, Pubill, Marcos Llorente, Grimaldo, Cardoso, Barrios, Kang-In Lee, Giuliano Simeone, Baena, Jonathan David.
Deportivo A Coruña: Leo Román; Giménez, Noubi, Ximo, Quagliata, Villares, Amatucci, Mario Soriano, Luismi Cruz, Yeremay, Nsongo.
Atlético’s stronger recent results and unbeaten home record make them the more convincing side heading into this match. Deportivo have taken only three points from their last five games, whereas the hosts have won four of their last five. The season figures also favour Atlético: they average 2.1 league goals per game compared with Deportivo’s 1.4, while conceding fewer on average.
The head-to-head summary offers further support for the hosts, who have recorded four wins and a draw in the five listed meetings with Deportivo. Still, a straightforward match is not guaranteed. Deportivo scored twice after falling behind at Real Sociedad, and their longer scoring record suggests they remain capable of posing a threat despite their recent results.
The timing of goals could be worth watching. At least one second-half goal has featured in Atlético’s last 13 matches and in their last 10 La Liga games; those figures refer to goals by either team, not necessarily Atlético. The hosts have also avoided a draw in 24 of their last 25 league matches. Taken together, the home record, current form and head-to-head results point more strongly toward an Atlético victory than toward a particular goals market.
Atlético de Madrid vs Deportivo A Coruña prediction from BetMines: Atlético de Madrid win (1) with 60% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Atlético de Madrid
Deportivo A Coruña
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
3
7
7
3
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
10
0
8
2