Atlético GO welcome Criciúma to the Estádio Antônio Accioly in Goiânia on Sunday, September 13, with kick-off scheduled for 19:00 local time. The fixture forms part of the 28th round of the Brazilian Serie B and brings together two clubs separated by only four points. Atlético GO are seventh with 43 points, level with the first team inside the G6, while Criciúma occupy fifth place with 47 points. The hosts enter this contest with growing confidence after an impressive recovery, whereas the visitors are attempting to respond to a difficult sequence that has cost them ground. With Atlético GO pushing closer to the qualification places and Criciúma trying to protect their position in the top six, this is an important match for both sides.

Atlético GO Recent Form and Key Statistics

Atlético GO spent much of the campaign in the lower part of the standings, but their recent improvement has transformed their situation. The Dragão have suffered only one defeat across their last 11 matches and are now within touching distance of the G6. Their latest five-game sequence is particularly encouraging, producing three wins, two draws and no defeats. During that run, they averaged 1.6 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per match.

The hosts strengthened their position by beating Ceará 2-1 on September 10. Atlético GO managed to secure that result despite playing with one fewer player for practically the entire second half, underlining the resilience behind their recent recovery. Their full Serie B record stands at 11 wins, 10 draws and six defeats, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game.

Although Atlético GO have recently found the net with greater frequency, their matches have generally remained below a high scoring threshold. A total of 37 of their last 40 matches have finished with under 3.5 goals. In addition, each of their last 11 Serie B games has contained fewer than 1.5 goals during the second half. These figures suggest that the hosts have combined their improved results with matches that rarely become excessively open, especially after the interval.

Home support gives Atlético GO another reason for confidence as they seek to move closer to the qualification zone. They are level on points with Operário, identified as the first club in the G6, so the importance of collecting another positive result is clear. The 41% home-win probability is also higher than the 31% assigned to a draw and the 28% attached to a Criciúma victory.

Criciúma Recent Form and Key Statistics

Criciúma remain fifth in Serie B, but their recent form contrasts sharply with that of their hosts. After leading the competition for a significant period, the Tigre have dropped places following a sequence containing only one victory in five matches. Their record over those five fixtures is one win, one draw and three defeats, accompanied by averages of 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.

The visitors come into this game after a 2-0 defeat against Juventude on September 9. Despite those recent setbacks, Criciúma still hold a four-point advantage over Atlético GO and possess a solid overall campaign record of 13 wins, eight draws and six defeats. Across the Serie B season, they have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 0.8 conceded per match, numbers that highlight how narrow many of their games have been.

Low-scoring trends are especially strong in Criciúma’s statistics. Each of their last 21 Serie B matches has produced under 3.5 goals, as have all of their last 10 away league fixtures. The opening period has also tended to be restrained: 20 of their previous 21 Serie B games featured under 1.5 first-half goals, while at least one team failed to score before half-time in 29 of their last 31 league matches.

Criciúma have also avoided being behind at the interval in 18 of their last 20 Serie B games. That record indicates that, even during a poor overall sequence, they have frequently remained competitive through the first half. Their challenge is to turn that stability into a complete performance after taking only four points from the last five matches.

Atlético GO vs Criciúma Match Analysis

The contrasting trajectories create the main storyline for this Serie B preview. Atlético GO are unbeaten across their last five matches and have conceded an average of just 0.6 goals during that spell. Criciúma, by comparison, have lost three of five and scored only 0.8 goals per game across the same period. On current form, the hosts appear better placed to obtain a positive result, but Criciúma’s fifth-place position and broader season record mean the contest remains finely balanced.

The previous meeting between the teams ended 1-1 on May 17, 2026. Across the supplied head-to-head summary, Atlético GO have no wins, one draw and four defeats, averaging 0.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. That history favors Criciúma, but the hosts’ current unbeaten run presents a very different recent picture. This tension between long-term head-to-head results and immediate form makes the outcome market less straightforward.

The clearest statistical theme concerns the expected number of goals. Under 2.5 goals carries a 64% probability, compared with 36% for over 2.5. Both teams also have extensive under-3.5 sequences, while Criciúma’s recent scoring average has fallen below one goal per game. Atlético GO are in stronger attacking form, but they have also defended efficiently, conceding only three times on average across the equivalent of their last five-game sample.

A measured contest therefore appears more consistent with the available evidence than a high-scoring encounter. Atlético GO’s improved form and home advantage could give them the initiative, while Criciúma’s strong first-half trends point toward a competitive opening. With the visitors looking to stop their slide and the hosts seeking to extend an unbeaten sequence, small margins may decide a match in which the overall goal count is expected to remain limited.

Atlético GO vs Criciúma prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 64% probability.