Tools
Atlético Madrid
3 - 2
FT
Athletic Club
Prediction published on Apr 23, 2026 9:01 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Apr 23, 2026 9:01 PM
The upcoming LaLiga clash between Atlético Madrid and Athletic Club promises to be a tense and intriguing encounter. The home side will be eager to bounce back after a difficult domestic run, while the visitors continue their push for European qualification. With both teams showing contrasting forms in recent weeks, this fixture at the Metropolitano could be decisive in shaping their end-of-season ambitions.
Atlético Madrid enter this match following a 3-2 defeat against Elche on April 22, 2026, a result that extended their inconsistent league form. Over their last five matches, they have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Despite this, their overall season record remains solid with 17 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats, supported by an average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match in LaLiga.
At home, Atlético have been particularly active in front of goal. They have scored at least once in 19 of their last 20 home fixtures and have not drawn in 19 of those games, highlighting their tendency to play for all three points. Furthermore, over 0.5 goals have been scored at half time in each of their last 12 home matches, and both teams have found the net before the break in the last four. These trends suggest that early action could again be expected when they host Athletic Club.
Currently sitting 4th in the league standings, Atlético’s focus may be divided due to their upcoming Champions League semifinal against Arsenal. However, the squad’s motivation to end a four-match losing streak in LaLiga should not be underestimated. Even with potential rotations, the home side will aim to deliver a strong performance to regain confidence and momentum in front of their supporters.
Athletic Club approach this fixture after a narrow 1-0 win over Osasuna on April 21, 2026, a result that revived their hopes of securing a European spot. Their recent record shows 2 wins and 3 defeats in the last five matches, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, they have achieved 12 wins, 5 draws, and 15 losses, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.
Defensively, the Basque side have struggled away from home, conceding at least one goal in each of their last 12 away matches. In fact, they have not won at half time in 21 of their last 22 away games and have lost at the break in their last four league trips. Despite these issues, their matches tend to be open: over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 11 away fixtures, and under 3.5 goals have been recorded in all of their last 11 overall games. This balance between attacking intent and defensive vulnerability could make for an entertaining contest in Madrid.
Currently 9th in the table, Athletic Club remain within touching distance of the European qualification zone. Their recent victory has restored some confidence, but consistency remains their biggest challenge. To take points from the Metropolitano, they will need to improve their defensive discipline while maintaining the attacking energy that earned them their latest win.
Historically, this fixture has been closely contested, with Atlético Madrid winning three of the last five meetings and Athletic Club taking two. The most recent encounter ended 1-0, reflecting the typically tight nature of their clashes. Both teams have shown a tendency to be involved in matches with goals at both ends: Atlético’s last eight league games have seen both sides score in seven of them, while Athletic’s defensive record away from home suggests that trend could continue.
Given Atlético’s attacking consistency at home and Athletic’s habit of conceding on the road, the conditions appear favorable for another open game. The home side’s need to respond after a poor domestic run, combined with the visitors’ push for European qualification, should ensure a competitive and high-intensity match. Expect both teams to create chances, especially in the second half, where Athletic’s matches often see goals.
Statistically, the probabilities indicate a 52% chance of a home win, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 24% chance of an away win. However, the most consistent pattern across both sides’ recent performances points towards goals for each team.
Atlético Madrid vs Athletic Club prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Atlético Madrid
Athletic Club
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
8
2
8
2