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Prediction published on Mar 31, 2025 11:12 AM by Dario in Spain - Copa Del Rey | Modified on Mar 31, 2025 11:13 AM
After the thrilling 4-4 draw in the first leg, Atletico Madrid and Barcelona meet again at the Metropolitano Stadium for the second act of the Copa del Rey semifinal. The tie from the first 90 minutes means neither team can afford to play conservatively, as only a win will secure a spot in the final. For Atletico Madrid, it feels like an eternity since the first leg, played on February 25. Since then, Los Colchoneros have suffered a string of negative results, leading to their Champions League exit and a potential farewell to their La Liga title dreams. This semifinal now holds crucial significance for Diego Simeone's side, as it represents their last chance to lift a trophy this season. On the other hand, for Barcelona, this semifinal is another step toward their Treble dream. The Blaugrana are in the thick of the La Liga title race and are among the favorites to win the Champions League. With so much at stake, this Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona clash promises to be yet another thrilling, high-scoring encounter.
Atletico Madrid’s recent form has been far from impressive. Their 1-1 draw against Espanyol in the last league match left them nine points behind leaders Barcelona. Now, rather than fighting for the title, their primary goal in La Liga is to secure third place, with Athletic Bilbao trailing by just four points.
In their last five matches, Simeone’s men have recorded one win, one draw, and three losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. In this season’s Copa del Rey, Atletico Madrid have registered five wins and one draw, scoring 19 goals and conceding five.
Hansi Flick’s team is in red-hot form. Their 4-1 victory against Girona marked their sixth consecutive win across all competitions. More impressively, Barcelona are unbeaten in their last 20 matches, with their last defeat coming against Atletico Madrid on December 21, when they lost 1-2 at the Estadio Olimpico Lluís Companys.
So far in the Copa del Rey, Barcelona have recorded three wins (against Barbastro, Real Betis, and Valencia) and one draw, with an impressive average of 4.5 goals scored per match and 1.25 conceded.
This will be the fourth meeting between Atletico Madrid and Barcelona in just over three months. The balance is even: beyond the 4-4 draw in the first leg of this Copa del Rey semifinal, Barcelona won the most recent La Liga clash 4-2 in Madrid (March 16), while Atletico Madrid secured a 2-1 away win in the first league encounter in December.
Given the stakes and both teams’ need to win, this match is expected to be another goal-filled encounter.
In accordance with the most recent direct clashes, the Betmines algorithm prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona predicts a match with both teams scoring at least one goal.
ATLETICO MADRID (4-4-2): Oblak; Llorente, Giménez, Lenglet, Galán; Simeone, De Paul, Barrios, Lino; Griezmann, Julián Álvarez. Coach: Simeone
BARCELONA (4-3-3): Szczęsny; Koundé, Cubarsí, Martínez, Balde; De Jong, Gavi, Pedri; Raphinha, Yamal, Lewandowski. Coach: Flick
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Atlético Madrid
FC Barcelona
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1