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Atlético Madrid
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Deportivo Alavés
Prediction published on Jan 17, 2026 10:01 AM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Jan 17, 2026 10:01 AM
The upcoming clash between Atlético Madrid and Deportivo Alavés promises to be one of the highlights of LaLiga EA Sports matchday 20. The encounter at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano will see two sides with very different ambitions and momentum face off. While the hosts are fighting to stay among the league’s elite, the visitors are looking to move further away from the relegation zone. Historically, this fixture has leaned in favor of the Madrid side, but Alavés have shown resilience in recent meetings, making this a potentially competitive contest.
Atlético Madrid enter this fixture after a brief break from league action, having participated in the Spanish Super Cup. In LaLiga, they currently sit in fourth place with 38 points from 19 matches, boasting 11 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats. Their consistency has been built on a solid defense and efficient attack, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match.
Their recent form remains strong, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat in their last five outings, including a 0-1 away victory against Deportivo La Coruña on January 13, 2026. At home, Atlético are particularly dominant — they have won their last eight home matches in LaLiga and have not lost at half time in their last 13 home games. Furthermore, they have scored at least one goal in each of their last 13 home fixtures, underlining their attacking reliability at the Metropolitano.
Across all competitions, the team has shown remarkable consistency in the first halves of matches, remaining unbeaten at half time in 22 of their last 23 games. Their ability to maintain control early on often sets the tone for their victories. With such impressive home form and attacking rhythm, Atlético Madrid will look to extend their winning streak and strengthen their top-four position.
Deportivo Alavés approach this match after a mixed run of results. They currently occupy 16th place in the LaLiga standings with 19 points, having recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats. Their season has been characterized by defensive struggles and limited scoring output, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match.
In their last five matches, Alavés have managed 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, showing flashes of improvement. Their most recent success came with a 2-0 victory over Rayo Vallecano on January 14, 2026, a result that provided a much-needed confidence boost. However, their away form remains a concern, as they often find it difficult to maintain defensive solidity against stronger opponents.
Historically, Alavés have struggled against Atlético Madrid, with only one win in their last five head-to-head encounters. The most recent meeting between the two sides ended in a 1-1 draw on August 30, 2025, showing that the Basque side can still pose a challenge when well-organized. To get a result in Madrid, they will need to rely on compact defending and quick transitions, hoping to frustrate the hosts and capitalize on any rare opportunities.
This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting objectives. Atlético Madrid are aiming to consolidate their Champions League qualification spot, while Deportivo Alavés are fighting to stay clear of the relegation battle. The hosts’ home record is formidable — eight consecutive wins and goals in every home match — making them clear favorites to secure another victory.
However, Alavés’ recent improvement and their ability to keep games tight suggest that this may not be a straightforward encounter. The visitors’ defensive organization could limit Atlético’s scoring opportunities, especially if they manage to stay compact and disciplined. Still, the attacking consistency of the Madrid side, combined with their strong first-half performances, gives them a significant edge.
In their last five head-to-head meetings, Atlético have recorded 2 wins and 2 draws, with both teams averaging around one goal per game. This pattern indicates that while Atlético often dominate, Alavés are capable of keeping the scoreline respectable. Given the current form and statistical trends, another low-scoring but controlled home win seems the most plausible outcome.
Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 65% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Atlético Madrid
Deportivo Alavés
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
8
2
7
3