Predictions
Top Leagues
Feb 2, 2025
At the Riyadh Air Metropolitano Stadium, Atletico Madrid hosts Getafe in a crucial Copa del Rey quarterfinal clash. This Madrid derby (Getafe is just 10 km south of the Spanish capital) will determine which team advances to the semifinals to face the winner of Real Sociedad vs Osasuna. The home side is having a fantastic season, as they are still competing on three fronts: La Liga, Champions League, and Copa del Rey. Los Colchoneros comfortably won their last league match against Mallorca (2-0), and thanks to Real Madrid’s defeat against Espanyol, they are now just one point behind the league leaders. This sets up an even more thrilling Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid encounter in the upcoming La Liga matchweek. Given this important league fixture, Diego Simeone might rotate some players, but Atletico is unlikely to underestimate this match as they continue to dream of a historic treble. On the other hand, Getafe is performing as expected, battling to avoid relegation. Bordalás' squad currently sits three points clear of the relegation zone and will face a crucial relegation battle against Alaves in the next La Liga round.
Atletico Madrid is on a four-match unbeaten streak, recording three wins and one draw. They currently sit second in La Liga, trailing Real Madrid, and have easily secured qualification for the Champions League Round of 16 with an impressive 18 points in the group stage.
In the Copa del Rey, Atletico advanced to the quarterfinals by thrashing Elche 4-0, with goals from Sorloth (brace), Riquelme, and Alvarez. At home, Los Rojiblancos remain undefeated in La Liga with 9 wins and 3 draws, and their only home defeat this season came in the Champions League against Lille (3-1). Atletico Madrid boasts the best defensive record in La Liga, conceding just 14 goals (0.63 per match).
Getafe is also enjoying a solid run, going six matches unbeaten across La Liga and Copa del Rey. During this streak, they have faced Barcelona, Real Sociedad, and Sevilla, demonstrating defensive resilience. To reach the quarterfinals, Getafe narrowly defeated fourth-division side Pontevedra 1-0.
Away from home, Getafe has struggled in La Liga, winning only twice in 10 matches, scoring 8 goals and conceding just 11. Despite this, they have one of the best defensive records in the league, conceding just 17 goals in 22 matches.
This Copa del Rey quarterfinal features two teams known for their organized defensive setups, boasting the best and second-best defenses in La Liga. As a result, we can expect a low-scoring affair, similar to their last league meeting, which ended 1-0 for Atletico Madrid.
Additionally, Simeone may rest key attackers ahead of the massive Madrid derby in La Liga matchweek 23. According to BetMines’ prediction algorithm, the best bet for Atletico Madrid vs Getafe is Under 3.5 goals.
Atletico Madrid (4-4-2): Oblak; Llorente, Gimenez, Lenglet, Galan; Simeone, Barrios, Koke, Gallagher; Griezmann, Alvarez. Coach: Simeone.
Getafe (4-4-2): Soria; Iglesias, Duarte, Berrocal, Rico; Perez, Milla, Dakonam, Coba da Costa; Uche, Yildirim. Coach: Bordalás.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Atlético Madrid
Getafe
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
3
7
6
4
2.5
6
4
7
3
3.5
7
3
9
1
4.5
8
2
9
1