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Atlético Madrid
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Getafe
Prediction published on Mar 13, 2026 2:01 AM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Mar 13, 2026 2:01 AM
The upcoming LaLiga EA Sports fixture brings another thrilling Madrid derby as Atlético Madrid host Getafe CF at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano. This encounter, corresponding to matchday 28, promises intensity and tactical discipline, with both sides eager to secure three crucial points. The home side enter the clash as clear favourites, yet the visitors have shown resilience in recent weeks and will not make things easy.
Atlético Madrid approach this match in excellent form, having recently defeated Real Sociedad 3-2 in a tightly contested battle. Their momentum continued with a 5-2 victory over Tottenham Hotspur on March 10, underlining their attacking strength. Over their last five matches, the Colchoneros have recorded four wins and one defeat, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. In LaLiga, they currently sit 3rd with 54 points, boasting a record of 16 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and only 0.9 conceded per match.
The Riyadh Air Metropolitano has been a fortress for Atlético. They have not drawn in their last 20 home matches and have scored at least once in 19 of their last 20 home appearances. Their consistency before the break is also remarkable, as they have avoided losing at half time in 18 of their last 20 home games. Furthermore, their matches often feature plenty of action from set pieces, with over 7.5 corners taken in 29 of their last 31 fixtures. These numbers confirm the team’s attacking intent and dominance on home soil.
Despite some absences, the hosts remain strong contenders. Their attacking unit, supported by players such as Llorente, Koke, Baena, Julián Álvarez, and Sorloth, has been decisive in recent weeks. The Colchoneros’ main objective is to consolidate their position in the top three and continue their pursuit of success in both domestic and European competitions.
Getafe CF arrive in good spirits after a solid 2-0 victory over Real Betis on March 8. Their recent form mirrors that of their city rivals, with four wins and one defeat in their last five matches. The Azulones have shown defensive discipline, conceding just 0.4 goals per game on average during this run, while scoring 1.4. In LaLiga, they occupy 9th place with 35 points, having registered 10 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses. Their season average stands at 0.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match.
Getafe’s matches tend to be tight and low-scoring affairs. In fact, under 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 10 league games, and under 1.5 goals at half time in 20 of their last 22. This reflects a cautious approach, prioritising defensive solidity and compactness. Although they face a tough challenge away from home, their recent improvement suggests they could make life difficult for Atlético.
Historically, the head-to-head record favours Atlético Madrid, who have won four of the last five meetings, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game and conceding only 0.4. The most recent encounter ended 0-1 in favour of Getafe, proving that the Azulones are capable of surprising even the strongest opponents when given the chance.
This Madrid derby is expected to be a battle of contrasting styles. Atlético Madrid will likely dominate possession and push forward aggressively, while Getafe will rely on their compact defensive structure and quick transitions. The hosts’ attacking firepower and home advantage make them favourites, but the visitors’ recent form and defensive resilience could keep the scoreline close.
Given the statistics, a match with limited goals in the first half seems plausible, as Getafe’s games rarely open up early. However, Atlético’s consistency at home and their ability to find goals in key moments could prove decisive once again. The Colchoneros have not lost at home to Getafe since the 2009–2010 season, and that psychological edge may play a role in this encounter.
Both teams are expected to approach the game with intensity, but Atlético’s superior attacking rhythm and depth should give them the upper hand. The home crowd at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano will undoubtedly push their team toward another crucial victory in their pursuit of LaLiga success.
Atlético Madrid vs Getafe prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 65% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Atlético Madrid
Getafe
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
3
7
5
5
2.5
5
5
8
2
3.5
7
3
9
1
4.5
8
2
10
0