Tools
Atlético Madrid
2 - 2
FT_PEN
Real Sociedad
Prediction published on Apr 17, 2026 10:47 AM by Dario in Spain - Copa Del Rey | Modified on Apr 17, 2026 10:47 AM
The grand final of the Copa del Rey will take place at the Estadio de La Cartuja, where Atlético Madrid and Real Sociedad will battle for one of the most prestigious trophies in Spanish football. Both teams arrive with different dynamics but share the same ambition: to lift the cup and secure a place in European competition next season. The atmosphere in Seville promises to be electric, with two sides that have shown quality and determination throughout the tournament.
Atlético Madrid reach this final after a demanding run of fixtures, including their recent Champions League quarter-final against Barcelona. Despite losing 1-2 in the second leg, they advanced thanks to their earlier 2-0 victory. However, their domestic form has been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five matches across all competitions. During that stretch, they have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
In the Copa del Rey, Atlético have been more effective, recording 4 wins and 1 defeat, with an average of 2.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Their attacking approach often pays off early, as over 0.5 goals have been scored in the first half of each of their last 10 games in the competition. Moreover, they have led at halftime in 6 of their last 10 Copa del Rey fixtures, showing their ability to start strong.
At home, Atlético have been remarkably consistent, having gone 19 matches without a draw. Their offensive rhythm and intensity make them a dangerous opponent, especially in knockout scenarios. The team’s recent 3-2 league victory over Real Sociedad in March adds confidence ahead of this decisive encounter.
Real Sociedad arrive in Seville with momentum and resilience. Their last outing was a thrilling 3-3 draw against Deportivo Alavés, a result that extended their unbeaten streak in the Copa del Rey to 20 of their last 21 matches. The Basque side have been particularly strong away from home, remaining undefeated in their last 15 away games in the competition.
Throughout this Copa del Rey campaign, Real Sociedad have recorded 6 wins, 1 draw, and no defeats, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match. Their attacking consistency is remarkable — they have scored at least one goal in each of their last 21 matches. Additionally, over 0.5 goals in the second half have been scored in 20 of their last 21 games, reflecting their ability to maintain intensity until the final whistle.
Defensively, Real Sociedad have shown balance, with only 2 of their last 10 away matches in the Copa del Rey ending with under 0.5 goals. Their tactical discipline and collective effort have been key to their success, and they will look to exploit any fatigue in Atlético’s ranks following their midweek European commitments.
This final promises to be a high-intensity and evenly matched contest. Atlético Madrid’s physical style and pressing game will clash with Real Sociedad’s fluid passing and creativity. The Madrid side will likely rely on their quick transitions and experience in big matches, while the Basques will aim to control possession and exploit spaces on the counterattack.
Both teams have shown attacking efficiency throughout the tournament, and recent history supports the expectation of goals. In fact, both teams have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches, and their last head-to-head ended 3-2 in favor of Atlético. The statistics suggest that this final could follow a similar pattern, with both sides capable of finding the net.
Given the stakes — a major trophy and a direct ticket to the Europa League — neither team is expected to hold back. The match could be decided by small details, set pieces, or individual brilliance. The balance between Atlético’s determination and Real Sociedad’s technical quality makes this final one of the most intriguing in recent years.
Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 60% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Atlético Madrid
Real Sociedad
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
7
3
4
6
4.5
8
2
7
3