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Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction: Preview and Analysis of the Match | La Liga

Atlético Madrid

4 - 0

FT

Real Sociedad

Riyadh Air Metropolitano
clear sky 12.2 °C

Prediction published on May 8, 2025 3:24 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on May 9, 2025 3:39 PM

At the Civitas Metropolitano Stadium on Saturday, May 10, Atlético Madrid host Real Sociedad in a match valid for Matchday 35 of La Liga. Diego Simeone’s team is heading towards the end of a disappointing season, having failed to reach the latter stages of any competition: eliminated in the Champions League Round of 16 by historic rivals Real Madrid, knocked out in the Copa del Rey semi-finals by Barcelona, and long out of the La Liga title race. Despite lacking ambition in terms of standings, Los Colchoneros still aim to mathematically secure a spot in next season’s UEFA Champions League with a home win over Real Sociedad — they currently hold a ten-point lead over sixth place with only four matches remaining. While Simeone’s side is one step away from achieving their minimum seasonal goal, Alguacil’s Real Sociedad dream of grabbing points to rejoin the race for a UEFA Europa League place, currently just three points away. This fixture at the Civitas Metropolitano is crucial, as Real Sociedad’s last three matches include direct clashes with Celta Vigo (currently seventh), Girona, and a potentially title-deciding final day against Real Madrid.

 

Atlético Madrid Recent Form and Key Stats

The lack of seasonal objectives is reflected in Atlético Madrid’s recent results: in their last three matches, they lost 1-0 to Las Palmas, won 3-0 against Rayo Vallecano, and drew 0-0 away to Alavés. Overall, they’ve lost only once in their last five La Liga games, scoring 9 goals and conceding 4.

At home, Simeone’s side has been dominant — earning 40 of their 67 points from 12 wins, 4 draws, and just 1 loss, with an average of 2 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per match at the Civitas Metropolitano. They did lose two recent home matches across all competitions, both against Barcelona (2-4 in La Liga and 0-1 in the Copa del Rey semi-final), but comfortably won the other two against Valladolid (4-2) and Rayo Vallecano (3-0).

 

Real Sociedad Recent Form and Key Stats

Real Sociedad are coming off a goalless Basque derby draw against Athletic Club, extending their winless streak to four matches — two draws and two losses. Their last win was a 3-1 away success at Las Palmas on April 6. Over their last five fixtures, they’ve averaged 1 goal scored and 1.2 conceded per match.

Away from home in La Liga, the Basques have collected 19 of their 43 points through 5 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats. Their recent away form includes a 2-2 draw at Villarreal and a 1-0 loss to Alavés. More broadly, they have won just one of their last eight away games in all competitions.

 

Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction and Tactical Overview

Atlético Madrid will be without suspended striker Julián Álvarez, but they boast a strong home record against Real Sociedad — winning eight of the last ten home meetings. Real Sociedad haven’t won away to Atlético since the 2012/13 season.

Simeone’s team has been a fortress at home this season, averaging 2 goals per game and conceding fewer than one. On the other side, Real Sociedad desperately need points to keep pace in the battle for eighth place, but face a tough task — they’ve won just once in La Liga in 2025.

According to the BetMines algorithm, Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad prediction sees Atlético Madrid are clear favorites for the win.

  • Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad prediction of the BetMines algorithm predicts 1 at 56%.

  • Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad prediction of the BetMines algorithm predicts X at 23%.

  • Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad prediction of the BetMines algorithm predicts 2 at 21%.

 

Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad Predicted Lineups

ATLÉTICO MADRID (4-4-2): Oblak; Llorente, Le Normand, Lenglet, Galán; Simeone, De Paul, Barrios, Gallagher; Griezmann, Sørloth. Manager: Diego Simeone

REAL SOCIEDAD (4-1-4-1): Álex Remiro; Traoré, Jon Martín, Aguerd, Muñoz; Zubimendi; Kubo, Méndez, Marín, Gómez; Oyarzabal. Manager: Imanol Alguacil

Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad - Predictions

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Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Atlético Madrid

Real Sociedad

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

30%

3

70%

7

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

50%

5

50%

5

40%

4

60%

6

3.5

70%

7

30%

3

40%

4

60%

6

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

70%

7

30%

3

BetMines

Standings of Atlético Madrid and Real Sociedad in La Liga

Who will win ?

Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad be played?
The La Liga match between Atlético Madrid and Real Sociedad will be played on May 10, 2025 at 19:00.
Where will Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad be played?
The match between Atlético Madrid and Real Sociedad will be played at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid - Spain
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad in the La Liga?
The odds are: Atlético Madrid to win 1.80, draw 3.50, Real Sociedad to win 4.75.
What are the betting odds for Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the La Liga?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 2.10 and Under 2.5 at 1.73.
Will both Atlético Madrid and Real Sociedad score in the La Liga?
The odds for both teams to score are 2.00, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.75.
What are the head-to-head results between Atlético Madrid and Real Sociedad?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Atlético Madrid and Real Sociedad, Atlético Madrid won 3 times, Real Sociedad won 0, and 2 ended in a draw.

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