Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid Prediction: Preview and Analysis of the Match | La Liga

The 31st round of La Liga concludes with the clash at the Metropolitano Stadium between Atletico Madrid, currently third and still holding on to slim hopes of a title challenge, and Valladolid, who sit bottom of the table and are virtually relegated to the Segunda Division. This season may mark the fourth consecutive year without silverware for Diego Simeone’s side—a huge disappointment considering the club’s heavy investment last summer, including high-profile signings like Julian Alvarez, Conor Gallagher, Robin Le Normand, and Alexander Sorloth. With Barcelona and Real Madrid still involved in multiple competitions, there's a chance they could drop points along the way. This opens the door for Atletico, whose only realistic goal now is to win as many matches as possible in a late push for the title they last won in 2020/2021. Their next challenge is Valladolid, who are rock bottom with just 16 points—14 behind the 17th-placed team—and winless in 11 consecutive games. Everything points to a comfortable win for Griezmann and company, and another nail in the coffin for Alvaro Rubio’s struggling side.

Atletico Madrid's Recent Form and Key Stats

Atletico Madrid are coming off a crucial 2-1 away win against Sevilla, with goals from Alvarez and Barrios. That victory, combined with stumbles from both Barcelona and Real Madrid, solidified Atletico’s third-place standing and brought them within 7 points of the top.

At home, the Colchoneros have earned 34 of their 60 total points this season (10 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss). The only defeat came in a 4-2 thriller against Barcelona in round 28. At the Metropolitano, Atletico have scored 27 goals and conceded 12 in 15 home matches—averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.

Valladolid's Recent Form and Key Stats

Valladolid’s disastrous run continued with a 4-0 loss at Getafe, their fourth straight defeat in La Liga. More broadly, they haven’t won in their last 11 games across all competitions, collecting 10 losses and just 1 draw (1-1 vs Las Palmas). Unsurprisingly, they sit firmly at the bottom, 14 points away from safety.

Away from home, their form is even more dire—just 3 points in 15 games, with their only away win coming on October 18 against Alaves (2-3). Valladolid have also conceded the most away goals in La Liga: 44 goals, averaging 2.93 per match.

Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid Prediction and Tactical Preview

The Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid prediction for La Liga Matchday 31 clearly favors the home side, who will be aiming for back-to-back wins following their success against Sevilla. Simeone’s squad needs three points to stay in the title hunt, while Valladolid appear to have accepted their fate and are preparing for life in the second tier.

Historically, Atletico have dominated this matchup, winning the last four head-to-head encounters, all of which featured at least 3 goals. Expect Atletico to attack from the start, with Julian Alvarez eager to improve on his 12-goal tally this season.

Based on current form, stats, and tactical setup, the BetMines algorithm prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid forecasts a match with over 2.5 goals.

• The BetMines prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid match predicts Over 2.5 goals at 61%.
• The BetMines prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid match predicts Under 2.5 goals at 39%.

Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid Predicted Lineups

Atletico Madrid (4-4-2): Oblak; Azpilicueta, Lenglet, Le Normand, Molina; Gallagher, Barrios, Llorente, G. Simeone; Alvarez, Griezmann. Manager: Diego Simeone

Valladolid (4-4-2): Ferreira; Aznou, Ozkacar, Cumart, Candela; Sanchez, Nikitscher, Martin, Moro; Sylla, Latasa. Manager: Alvaro Rubio