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Atlético Bucaramanga
Prediction published on Jul 23, 2025 7:38 AM by Dario in South America - Copa Sudamericana | Modified on Jul 23, 2025 9:49 AM
On Friday, July 25, at the MRV Arena in Belo Horizonte, hosts Atletico Mineiro will face Bucaramanga in the second leg of the Copa Sudamericana Round of 32. The first leg ended in favor of the Brazilian side, who secured a 0-1 away win at Estadio Américo Montanini thanks to a goal from the ever-reliable Hulk, still leading the team at nearly 39 years of age. However, the final score doesn't tell the full story: the Colombians dominated in terms of possession (61% vs 39%) and shots on target (8 vs 2), but were denied by a brilliant Everson, who was by far the best player on the pitch. Cuca’s team showed impressive defensive resilience, a trait that’s proven crucial throughout the season. The second half saw a turn of events with red cards for Franco and Duarte, who will now miss the return leg. Atletico Mineiro, currently ninth in the Brasileirão Betano, reached the Copa Sudamericana knockout stage after finishing second in Group H behind Peruvian side Cienciano. In addition to competing in this tournament, they’ll face Flamengo in the Copa Betano Round of 16 in August. Bucaramanga, who need to win by at least two goals to advance, recently began their Primera A Clausura campaign and reached the Copa Sudamericana playoffs after topping Group A unbeaten. Leaving the MRV Arena with a win won't be easy: the home side are on a long unbeaten run at home and boast one of the most solid defenses in the competition, especially when playing in Belo Horizonte.
In their most recent Brasileirão Betano fixture, Atletico Mineiro suffered a 3-2 away defeat to Palmeiras. Despite the loss, veteran striker Hulk (born in 1986) stood out again, scoring twice from free kicks and netting four goals in his last three matches. It was the team's second consecutive league defeat, coming between their 0-1 away win at Bucaramanga in the first leg of this Copa Sudamericana tie.
One of Galo’s key strengths is undoubtedly their defense. They’ve kept six clean sheets in their last nine matches and conceded only six goals in that span. Their home record is excellent: they haven’t lost at the MRV Arena since November 2024 and have conceded just one goal in their last four home matches (2 wins, 2 draws). Unsurprisingly, their top scorer this season is Hulk, with 15 goals across all competitions.
Following the 1-0 first-leg loss to Atletico Mineiro, Bucaramanga haven’t played again due to the postponement of their league match against Once Caldas scheduled for July 22. Their Copa Sudamericana defeat came after a 2-1 win in Copa Colombia against Boca Juniors de Cali and a 1-1 draw against Chicó in Primera A Clausura. Before facing the Brazilians, the Leopards were unbeaten in five games across all competitions (3 wins and 2 draws).
Unlike Atletico Mineiro, defense isn’t Bucaramanga’s strong suit. They’ve kept only one clean sheet in their last nine matches and have conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game over their last five outings, compared to 1.4 goals scored. Their away form is inconsistent: 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last six on the road. Their standout player is Argentine forward Luciano Pons, who has scored 10 goals this season.
The Atletico Mineiro vs Bucaramanga prediction from BetMines sees the Brazilian side as clear favorites, with a 64% chance of winning compared to Bucaramanga's 11%.
Cuca’s team enters the second leg with a narrow advantage thanks to Hulk’s goal and will benefit from playing at home, where they've been almost unbeatable in 2025.
Atletico Mineiro’s defense is among the most solid in South America, and it wouldn’t be surprising if Everson — man of the match in the first leg — manages another clean sheet. Their performance in Colombia demonstrated their ability to withstand pressure and remain compact defensively.
There's reason to believe Bucaramanga may once again fail to score, despite needing goals. Their away form has been inconsistent, and they couldn’t find the net at home even after creating multiple chances.
For these reasons, the BetMines algorithm predicts a narrow home win, with Bucaramanga once again struggling to break down Galo’s defensive wall.
ATLETICO MINEIRO (4-3-3): Everson; Natanael, Lyanco, Alonso, Arana; Menino, Gomes, Scarpa; Rony, Hulk, Dudu. Coach: Cuca
BUCARAMANGA (4-2-3-1): Quintana; Romana, Henao, Mena, Hinestroza; Castro, Zarate; Gil, Sambueza, Londono; Pons. Coach: Alvarez
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Atlético Mineiro
Atlético Bucaramanga
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7
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