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Prediction published on Jun 11, 2025 9:35 AM by Dario in Brazil - Serie A | Modified on Jun 12, 2025 7:15 AM
At the MRV Arena in Belo Horizonte, Atlético Mineiro host Internacional in a clash that offers valuable points for both teams’ campaigns in the Brasileirão Betano. After 11 rounds, the two sides are underperforming compared to preseason expectations, sitting 9th and 14th respectively, with a six-point gap between them. The home team, buoyed by an away win against Ceará, has climbed into the continental qualification spots. Their aim now is to maintain this positive momentum and edge closer to the top of the table. With their Copa Sudamericana and Copa Betano commitments on hold until July, Cuca's side can fully focus on the league, starting with this match. Internacional, meanwhile, head to Belo Horizonte in desperate need of points. They are just one point above the relegation zone and trail Grêmio—currently 12th and holding the last qualification spot for continental competition—by four points. Injuries, particularly in attack, and poor away form have plagued the Gaúchos so far this season: they are still winless on the road in the league. Despite Atlético being favorites—thanks to their solid defense and strong home form—Cuca’s men must remain vigilant. The head-to-head record is almost perfectly balanced. Internacional, currently without cup distractions, will be looking to finally secure their first away win of the season in Belo Horizonte.
Atlético Mineiro are enjoying a strong run, having extended their unbeaten streak to seven games across all competitions with a 1–0 win at Ceará, sealed by Rony in the 78th minute. In their last five matches—spanning Brasileirão, Copa Sudamericana, and Copa Betano—Galo have registered 2 wins and 3 draws, averaging 1.2 goals scored per game and conceding just 0.2. Four of those matches ended with under 2.5 total goals.
Atlético currently sit 9th in the Brasileirão with 17 points from 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses. At home, they are unbeaten in the league at MRV Arena (3 wins and 3 draws) and haven’t lost a home game across all competitions in their last 11 outings. They are on a seven-match unbeaten streak in the league, consisting of 4 wins and 3 draws.
In their most recent Brasileirão Betano fixture, Internacional suffered a heavy 2–0 home loss to Fluminense, further complicating their league position. That defeat ended a five-match unbeaten streak, during which they picked up 3 wins (2 in Copa Libertadores, 1 in Copa Sudamericana) and 2 league draws against Mirassol and Sport Recife.
Focusing solely on league form, Roger Machado’s side are struggling: 14th place with 11 points from 2 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses. Defensive frailties are a major concern: with 16 goals conceded (1.45 per game), Internacional have the third-worst defense in the league. Their away form is also worrying: no wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, conceding nearly 2 goals per match on average.
The recent head-to-head record shows balance: in their last five official encounters, Internacional have won twice, and Atlético three times. Last season, Atlético won the June match 2–1, while Internacional responded with a 3–1 victory in October.
Looking ahead to this Matchday 12 fixture, Atlético Mineiro appear favorites due to home advantage (unbeaten at MRV Arena since last November) and their current form. In attack, the team can rely on veteran Hulk, who at 38 has already netted 11 goals this season. He’s supported by Rony, also in double digits with 10 goals.
Internacional, meanwhile, are still hunting for their first away win in the Brasileirão. Though they’ve drawn their last two road games, their defensive vulnerabilities and poor starts to matches—falling behind in 4 of their last 5—make an away win seem unlikely.
To make matters worse for the visitors, their top scorer Alan Patrick is suspended. Enner Valencia and Vitinho remain out with injuries. This leaves the attacking responsibilities squarely on Rafael Borré, who has scored just 5 goals in 20 appearances this season.
For all these reasons, the prediction for Atlético Mineiro vs Internacional leans strongly toward the home side, who have all the tools to secure three points in this key Brasileirão Betano encounter.
ATLÉTICO MINEIRO (3-4-3): Everson; Alonso, Hugo, Rabello; Rubens, Franco, Silva, Natanael; Gomes, Hulk, Rony. Coach: Cuca
INTERNACIONAL (4-5-1): Anthoni; Ramon, Juninho, Vitao, Aguirre; Maia, Henrique, Tabata, Lucca, Wesley; Borre. Coach: Roger Machado
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Atlético Mineiro
Internacional
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
5
5
3
7
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
10
0
8
2