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Atlético San Luis
11:00 PM
August 23, 2026
Pachuca
Prediction published on Aug 22, 2026 6:03 PM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Aug 22, 2026 6:03 PM
Atlético San Luis host Pachuca in a Liga MX fixture on August 23, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 23:00 local time at Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez. Both clubs enter the contest near the bottom of the standings: Atlético San Luis are ranked 16th, immediately behind 15th-placed Pachuca. The hosts are still searching for their first league victory of the season, while the visitors have won only once in four matches. With three points offering either side an opportunity to improve its position, this meeting carries clear importance despite taking place early in the campaign. The recent numbers also suggest goals could play a central role, as both teams have been scoring once per game across their last five fixtures while conceding at higher rates.
Atlético San Luis approach this home match without a victory in their last five outings. Their record during that sequence stands at two draws and three defeats, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 2.6 conceded per match. Those defensive figures underline the main concern for the home side, which has allowed opponents to score far more frequently than it has found the net itself.
Their most recent result was a 3-0 defeat against América on August 16. It continued a difficult opening to the Liga MX season, in which Atlético San Luis have recorded no wins, two draws and two losses. Their league averages currently sit at 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded, meaning their matches have produced an average of three total goals.
Although the home side have not yet converted their opportunities into a league victory, their scoring average shows they have still contributed goals during the campaign. The greater issue has been containing opponents, with two goals conceded per Liga MX match and an even higher defensive average across the latest five games. Playing at home gives Atlético San Luis the setting in which to pursue a response, but their recent record makes defensive improvement particularly important against Pachuca.
There is also a notable pattern after the interval. More than 0.5 second-half goals have been scored in 23 of Atlético San Luis’s last 25 Liga MX matches. This statistic refers to total match goals and indicates that their league fixtures have very frequently featured at least one goal following half-time. Even if the opening phase is balanced, the available data points toward a strong possibility of the contest opening up later.
Pachuca travel for this match after losing 3-2 against Puebla on August 18. That result was their fourth defeat in five games, with their recent sequence consisting of one victory and no draws alongside those four losses. Across the same period, Pachuca have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.8 conceded per fixture.
The visitors’ Liga MX season record is one win and three defeats. Their attacking and defensive averages are identical at 1.5 goals per match, producing a combined average of three goals in their league fixtures. Compared with Atlético San Luis, Pachuca have scored at a higher rate during the current competition, although they have also conceded regularly and arrive without a draw on their seasonal record.
Pachuca’s matches have frequently started with goalmouth action. At least one first-half goal has been recorded in 19 of their last 21 Liga MX fixtures, and the same 19-from-21 pattern also applies across their last 21 matches overall. This is one of the clearest statistical trends surrounding the fixture and makes the opening 45 minutes especially relevant when assessing how the game could develop.
The visitors have also been behind at the interval in 10 of their last 16 away matches in Liga MX. That record warns against assuming Pachuca’s slightly better ranking will automatically translate into early control. Nevertheless, the overall win probabilities give them a narrow edge: Pachuca are assigned a 40% chance of victory, compared with 36% for Atlético San Luis and 24% for the draw.
The available form data presents two teams attempting to recover from defeats. Atlético San Luis were beaten by three unanswered goals in their latest match, while Pachuca conceded three in a 3-2 loss. Neither club brings a convincing recent run into this encounter: the hosts have taken no wins from five, and the visitors have lost four of their last five. As a result, the narrow difference in the match-result probabilities reflects a contest without an overwhelming favorite.
The head-to-head numbers reinforce that sense of balance. The latest meeting finished 1-1 on March 14, 2026, while the summarized record from Atlético San Luis’s perspective is two wins, one draw and two defeats. Across that head-to-head sample, Atlético San Luis averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The source article also reports that both teams scored in four of the previous five meetings, adding further context to the possibility of chances at both ends.
Goal-related probabilities are prominent for this Liga MX preview. Both Teams To Score is rated at 63% for Yes, while Over 2.5 goals also carries a 63% probability. Those figures are consistent with Atlético San Luis conceding 2.6 goals per match across their latest five and Pachuca allowing 1.8 over the same span. They also align with both sides averaging three total goals per game in their respective season statistics.
The timing trends provide the strongest individual signal. Pachuca have seen a first-half goal in 19 of their last 21 matches both overall and in Liga MX, while their away record includes ten half-time deficits in 16 league trips. Atlético San Luis, meanwhile, have produced at least one second-half goal in 23 of their last 25 league fixtures. Taken together, the statistics suggest a match with a strong chance of goal activity rather than a contest remaining unchanged for long periods. Pachuca hold only a slight advantage in the win probabilities, so the recurring first-half goal pattern offers the most coherent conclusion from the supplied candidates.
Atlético San Luis vs Pachuca prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 76% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Atlético San Luis
Pachuca
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
1
9
4
6
2.5
1
9
4
6
3.5
2
8
7
3
4.5
7
3
9
1