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Prediction published on Oct 26, 2026 3:38 PM by Dario in Spain - Copa Del Rey | Modified on Oct 26, 2026 3:38 PM
Atlético Tordesillas host Mirandés in the first round of the Copa del Rey on October 27, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 19:00 local time at Estadio Las Salinas. Only one division separates the sides, making this a cup tie with plenty to examine beyond their respective league levels. Atlético Tordesillas arrive after earning a point away to Gimnástica Segoviana, while Mirandés come in on the back of a 2-0 win over Racing Ferrol. The hosts’ home record and the visitors’ results on the road add another layer of intrigue to this Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés preview.
Atlético Tordesillas compete in Group V of the Segunda Federación, where they sit tenth, one point above the relegation places. Their latest result was a 1-1 draw away to Gimnástica Segoviana on October 24. That point followed a five-match spell in which Atlético Tordesillas recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat. Across those five games, they averaged 1.2 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded per match.
Those defensive figures give the home side a useful foundation for a one-off cup fixture. Atlético Tordesillas have also lost only once at home in the league so far, a record that makes Mirandés’ divisional advantage less decisive than it might first appear. The challenge for the hosts is to turn that home resilience into a result against opponents who won their most recent match without conceding.
With just one category between the clubs, Atlético Tordesillas do not enter the tie facing a vast gap in league level. Their recent results have been relatively steady, and conceding an average of fewer than one goal per game over the last five matches suggests they have given opponents limited scoring opportunities. Whether they can maintain that record against Mirandés will be central to the contest.
Mirandés play in 1ª RFEF following relegation from Segunda last season. They are fifth in their league and head into this Copa del Rey fixture after beating Racing Ferrol 2-0 on October 24. Mirandés scored once in the opening quarter of an hour and added their second late in the match, securing a clean-sheet victory before this trip.
Their broader five-match record is less convincing than that latest result alone: two wins, one draw and two defeats, with averages of 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Away results are another consideration, as Mirandés have won only one of their first five trips. They may be the higher-division side, but their record away from home does not point to an easy assignment at Estadio Las Salinas.
Mirandés have conceded at least once in each of their last 17 away matches, as well as in their last 14 Copa del Rey games. Those runs offer Atlético Tordesillas encouragement despite Mirandés’ clean sheet against Racing Ferrol. At the same time, each of Mirandés’ last 11 Copa del Rey matches has featured fewer than 3.5 total goals, so their recent history in this competition has not been marked by especially high scores.
The contrast between Mirandés’ league standing and Atlético Tordesillas’ home record is the main question in this first-round meeting. Mirandés have the advantage of competing one division higher and arrive after a win, but Atlético Tordesillas have suffered only one home league defeat so far. The hosts’ low recent goals-conceded average also suggests that the visitors may have to work for their chances.
There are reasons to expect opportunities at both ends without assuming an open, high-scoring match. Mirandés’ long run of conceding in away fixtures gives the hosts a route into the game, while Atlético Tordesillas have scored an average of 1.2 goals across their last five outings. Mirandés, by comparison, have averaged 0.8 goals scored over the same number of matches. Combined with their run of Copa del Rey games finishing below four total goals, those figures point towards a contest in which individual moments could carry considerable weight.
One further statistic is worth keeping in view: there has been at least one first-half goal in 22 of Mirandés’ last 24 matches. That pattern raises the possibility of an early breakthrough, though it does not by itself imply a high final score. For this Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés match preview, the more consistent theme is the balance between the hosts’ defensive form, the visitors’ modest recent scoring average and Mirandés’ sequence of relatively low-scoring cup ties.
Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 53% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Atlético Tordesillas
Mirandés
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
4
6
2.5
5
5
8
2
3.5
6
4
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1