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Atlético Tucumán
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Tigre
Prediction published on Apr 11, 2026 5:02 AM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Apr 11, 2026 5:02 AM
The fourteenth round of the Argentine Apertura brings an intriguing clash between Atlético Tucumán and CA Tigre, two sides looking to reverse their inconsistent form. The match will be played at the Estadio Monumental José Fierro, where the home team hopes to rely on their local strength to climb up the table. Both clubs arrive with contrasting dynamics: while Atlético Tucumán have struggled defensively, Tigre’s main issue has been their inability to turn possession into victories in recent weeks. With both teams in need of points, this encounter promises to be tense and competitive.
Atlético Tucumán have endured a difficult Apertura campaign so far, collecting only two wins from twelve matches. Their defensive fragility has been a major concern, having conceded 18 goals in that span. Despite this, the team has shown resilience at home, losing just once in their last six league fixtures at their own ground. The “Decano” currently sit 13th in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol standings and recently suffered a 2-1 defeat against Rosario Central on April 5, 2026.
In their last five matches, Atlético Tucumán have recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Over the season, their average stands at 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. The attacking line has found some consistency thanks to their forward Leandro Díaz, who has contributed five goals and one assist so far. However, the team’s defensive lapses continue to undermine their progress.
Statistically, Atlético Tucumán’s matches tend to be lively, especially in the second half. Over 0.5 goals have been scored after the break in 24 of their last 26 games, and they have not lost at half time in 19 of their last 21 home fixtures. This suggests that while they often start solidly, maintaining concentration throughout the 90 minutes remains a challenge.
CA Tigre arrive at this fixture in the midst of a poor run, having failed to win any of their last five matches. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-1 draw against Alianza Atlético on April 8, 2026. Despite their struggles, Tigre remain 7th in the league table, largely due to their balanced performances earlier in the season. Their overall record stands at four wins, five draws, and three defeats, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Offensively, Tigre have shown promise, netting 16 goals in 12 rounds. Their standout performer has been forward David Romero, who has scored six goals and provided two assists. However, their away form has been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five away matches. The team’s defensive organization has been relatively solid, but their inability to convert chances has cost them valuable points.
From a statistical perspective, Tigre’s matches tend to be low-scoring affairs. Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in 19 of their last 20 away games, and under 1.5 goals at half time in 18 of their last 20. This pattern suggests a cautious approach on the road, focusing on defensive stability rather than attacking risk.
This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting strengths. Atlético Tucumán will rely heavily on their home advantage and attacking momentum from Leandro Díaz, while CA Tigre will aim to exploit their opponent’s defensive weaknesses through quick transitions. Historically, Tigre have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning three and drawing two of the last five head-to-head encounters, with an average of 1.6 goals scored per game against Tucumán’s 0.2.
Given the current form, the match could be decided by small details. Tucumán’s tendency to concede late goals contrasts with Tigre’s disciplined defensive structure. The home side’s attacking intent may open spaces for Tigre’s counterattacks, but both teams’ recent scoring patterns suggest a tight contest with limited goal opportunities.
According to the latest probabilities, Atlético Tucumán have a 41% chance of winning, the draw stands at 30%, and Tigre’s victory probability is 29%. The “Both Teams To Score – No” scenario appears slightly more likely (56%), while “Under 2.5 goals” is favored at 64%. These figures align with the teams’ recent trends of low-scoring matches and defensive caution.
Atlético Tucumán vs CA Tigre prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 64% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Atlético Tucumán
Tigre
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
4
6
3
7
2.5
6
4
9
1
3.5
10
0
9
1
4.5
10
0
10
0