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Aucas vs LDU Quito Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Liga Pro 17-08-2026

Aucas

0 - 1

FT

LDU Quito

Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda
Juan Carlos Andrade Arreaga
light rain 9.35 °C

Prediction published on Aug 15, 2026 2:03 AM by Dario in Ecuador - Liga Pro | Modified on Aug 15, 2026 2:03 AM

Aucas host LDU Quito on Sunday, August 17, 2026, in an important Liga Pro Serie A fixture between two teams occupying places near the upper end of the standings. The home side enter the contest in third position, while the visitors are sixth. Aucas will look to use home advantage to build on a season that has produced 12 wins from 24 league matches. LDU Quito arrive with stronger recent numbers, having won three of their last five games across all competitions, but several of their established scoring trends point towards another controlled and closely contested encounter. The previous meeting between the teams ended goalless on April 23, adding further interest to a match in which small details may prove decisive.

Aucas Recent Form and Key Statistics

Aucas have accumulated 41 points and sit third in the Liga Pro standings. Their league record currently reads 12 wins, five draws and seven defeats, showing that they have generally found ways to turn competitive performances into victories. Across the campaign, they have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per league fixture. Those figures describe a side with a positive scoring balance, although the margins between attack and defence remain relatively narrow.

Their latest match against La Unión finished 1-1 on August 12. Aucas subsequently prevailed in the penalty shootout in the Copa Ecuador, giving them a positive outcome before returning to league action. Their overall form across the last five matches has been mixed, with two victories, one draw and two defeats. During that sequence, they averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, suggesting that their recent fixtures have been more open than their broader league averages.

Playing at home is presented as an important advantage for Aucas, particularly because they have collected a series of encouraging results and have previously competed well when hosting LDU Quito. However, their last-five record also demonstrates that consistency cannot be taken for granted. They have enough scoring output to trouble the visitors, but conceding an average of 1.4 goals during that run indicates that balance will be essential.

One of the clearest recurring patterns concerns the period after the interval. In 28 of Aucas' last 30 Liga Pro matches, at least one team failed to score in the second half. This does not necessarily mean the entire second half will be goalless, but it does suggest that both sides finding the net after the break has been highly unusual in Aucas league games. If that trend continues, the opening goal and the way each team manages the scoreline could carry significant weight.

LDU Quito Recent Form and Key Statistics

LDU Quito approach this match from sixth place in Liga Pro. Their league campaign has delivered 10 wins, five draws and nine defeats. They average 1.0 goal scored and 0.8 conceded per league game, numbers that point to a comparatively restrained overall scoring profile and a defensive average below one goal allowed per fixture.

The visitors drew 1-1 with Mirassol on August 13 in the Copa Libertadores. That result came away from home and extended a productive recent spell: LDU Quito have registered three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five matches. They scored an average of 2.0 goals per game during that run while conceding only 0.8, meaning their latest attacking returns have been considerably higher than their season-long league average.

Despite that recent scoring form, the long-term match patterns surrounding LDU Quito remain notably cautious. Their last 11 Liga Pro fixtures have all finished with under 3.5 total goals, while the same outcome has occurred in each of their last 10 matches across all competitions. These sequences indicate that even when LDU Quito perform well, their games have generally stayed within a controlled scoring range rather than developing into high-scoring contests.

The first-half statistics are even more pronounced. LDU Quito's last 23 Liga Pro matches have produced under 1.5 goals before half-time, and at least one team has failed to score in the first half of every game in that sequence. Under 1.5 first-half goals have also been recorded in their last 15 away matches, including their previous 11 league trips. In addition, at least one side was scoreless at the interval in 29 of LDU Quito's last 30 matches across all competitions. A patient opening phase would therefore fit a well-established pattern.

Aucas vs LDU Quito Match Analysis

The contrast between league position and recent form creates an intriguing contest. Aucas hold the stronger ranking and have the benefit of playing at home, while LDU Quito arrive with three victories from their previous five matches and a stronger recent scoring average. At the same time, neither team's league record points towards overwhelming superiority. Aucas have lost seven times, and LDU Quito have suffered nine defeats, so both sides have shown vulnerability during the season.

The direct record also underlines how evenly matched this fixture can be. Across the supplied head-to-head summary from the Aucas perspective, the sequence stands at two wins, one draw and two defeats. Aucas averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in those meetings. Most recently, the teams played out a 0-0 draw on April 23, 2026. That balanced record offers little evidence of one side consistently dominating the other.

Aucas may seek to make their home status count and improve on the uneven results from their last five outings. Their recent average of 1.6 goals scored shows potential in attack, but they face an opponent conceding only 0.8 goals per league game. LDU Quito, meanwhile, can take confidence from averaging two goals across their last five matches, although their broader league output is a more modest one goal per fixture.

The statistical profile suggests that the early stages could be measured rather than expansive. LDU Quito's extended run of low-scoring first halves, combined with the goalless previous meeting, makes patience a relevant theme. Aucas' second-half trend also indicates that sustained scoring from both teams after the interval has been rare. With the hosts defending third place and the visitors looking to strengthen their position from sixth, efficiency in front of goal and control without the ball are likely to be central to the outcome of this Liga Pro encounter.

Aucas vs LDU Quito - Predictions

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Aucas vs LDU Quito: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Aucas

LDU Quito

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

40%

4

60%

6

50%

5

50%

5

2.5

60%

6

40%

4

80%

8

20%

2

3.5

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

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Standings of Aucas and LDU Quito in Liga Pro

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

3

Aucas

25

12

5

8

29:26

41

1.64

L
L
W
W
L
5

LDU Quito

25

11

5

9

24:20

38

1.52

D
W
W
L
W
Championship Round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round

Who will win ?

Aucas vs LDU Quito: Frequently asked questions

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When will Aucas vs LDU Quito be played?
The Liga Pro match between Aucas and LDU Quito will be played on August 17, 2026 at 00:00.
Where will Aucas vs LDU Quito be played?
The match between Aucas and LDU Quito will be played at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito - Ecuador
Who will referee Aucas vs LDU Quito?
The referee for the match will be Juan Carlos Andrade Arreaga.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Aucas vs LDU Quito in the Liga Pro?
The odds are: Aucas to win 2.30, draw 3.25, LDU Quito to win 3.00.
What are the betting odds for Aucas vs LDU Quito for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Liga Pro?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 2.25 and Under 2.5 at 1.61.
Will both Aucas and LDU Quito score in the Liga Pro?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.90, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.80.
What is the most likely correct score for Aucas vs LDU Quito in the Liga Pro?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Aucas and LDU Quito?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Aucas and LDU Quito, Aucas won 2 times, LDU Quito won 2, and 1 ended in a draw.

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