Audace Cerignola welcome Casertana for an intriguing Serie C: Girone C fixture on September 19, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 15:30 local time at Campo Comunale Domenico Monterisi. Both clubs have made encouraging starts after five matches. Audace Cerignola sit fifth with three victories and two defeats, while second-placed Casertana remain unbeaten after recording three wins and two draws. The hosts have the stronger match-win probability, but the visitors’ consistency means this contest is far from straightforward. With the teams averaging more than two goals scored per game, attacking quality could play an important role, although the supplied Under 2.5 goals probability indicates that a controlled encounter also remains possible.

Audace Cerignola Recent Form and Key Statistics

Audace Cerignola approach this home match looking to respond to a 1-0 defeat against Casarano on September 15. That result was their second loss in five Serie C: Girone C games, leaving them with a record of three wins, no draws and two defeats.

Despite that latest setback, the hosts have posted productive attacking numbers. They are averaging 2.0 goals scored per match across their last five fixtures, while conceding an average of 1.0. The same figures apply to their season statistics, highlighting a side that has generally combined regular scoring with a relatively modest concession rate.

The absence of a draw from Audace Cerignola’s opening five results is another notable feature of their campaign. Their matches have so far produced clear winners, but the probability data presents a more cautious picture for this meeting. Audace Cerignola have a 49% chance of winning, compared with 28% for the draw and 23% for an away victory. Those percentages make the home side the individual favorite without removing the possibility of a close contest.

• Serie C: Girone C ranking: 5th.
• Last five matches: three wins and two defeats.
• Average goals scored: 2.0 per game.
• Average goals conceded: 1.0 per game.
• Latest result: 1-0 defeat against Casarano.

Casertana Recent Form and Key Statistics

Casertana travel to Cerignola in stronger short-term form. They defeated Team Altamura 1-0 on September 15 and have not lost any of their first five league matches. Their record of three victories and two draws has taken them to second place in Serie C: Girone C.

The visitors have averaged 2.2 goals scored per match over their last five outings, slightly better than Audace Cerignola’s attacking average. However, Casertana have also conceded 1.6 goals per game, a figure that is higher than the hosts’ average of 1.0. Their season numbers mirror this five-match record: three wins, two draws, no defeats, 2.2 goals scored per match and 1.6 conceded.

Casertana’s first-half resilience deserves particular attention. They have avoided being behind at half-time in 19 of their last 21 Serie C: Girone C matches. That sequence suggests they have regularly remained competitive through the opening period, an important factor against a home team that enters the fixture with the greater overall win probability.

• Serie C: Girone C ranking: 2nd.
• Last five matches: three wins and two draws.
• Average goals scored: 2.2 per game.
• Average goals conceded: 1.6 per game.
• Latest result: 1-0 victory against Team Altamura.

Audace Cerignola vs Casertana Match Analysis

The contrast between Audace Cerignola’s home advantage and Casertana’s unbeaten start gives this fixture a balanced competitive profile. The hosts have lost twice, including their most recent game, but their average of two goals scored per match demonstrates their attacking potential. Casertana arrive with greater consistency and a marginally higher scoring average, although they have conceded more frequently.

The head-to-head summary is also finely poised, showing one win for Audace Cerignola, three draws and one defeat. Across that record, Audace Cerignola have averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The latest meeting ended with a 4-1 scoreline on April 12, 2026, but the wider head-to-head figures indicate that closely contested results have been common.

The goals markets offer mixed signals. Both Teams To Score is assessed at an even 50% for Yes and 50% for No. The supplied last-10 BTTS figures stand at 7% for Audace Cerignola and 8% for Casertana. Meanwhile, Under 2.5 goals carries a 55% probability, compared with 45% for Over 2.5. Therefore, the teams’ strong scoring averages should be weighed against data that gives a narrow preference to fewer than three total goals.

Casertana’s unbeaten record makes them difficult to dismiss, particularly after another clean-sheet victory. Nevertheless, Audace Cerignola’s 49% win probability is more than double the visitors’ 23%, while the draw remains a significant possibility at 28%. Combining the home-win and draw scenarios provides the clearest statistical conclusion: the hosts are backed to avoid defeat, even if Casertana’s form points toward a demanding afternoon.

Audace Cerignola vs Casertana prediction from BetMines: Audace Cerignola or Draw (1X) with 77% probability.