The upcoming clash between Audace Cerignola and Monopoli promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the 23rd round in Serie C: Girone C. This regional derby brings together two sides separated by just two points in the standings, with Monopoli currently sixth and Audace Cerignola eighth. Both teams have shown mixed form in recent weeks, making this encounter particularly difficult to predict. The balance in the table and the uncertainty reflected in the betting odds underline how finely poised this match is expected to be.

Audace Cerignola’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Audace Cerignola approach this home fixture after a narrow 0-1 away victory against Siracusa on January 18, a result that boosted their confidence following a series of fluctuating performances. Over their last five matches, they have collected two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Their overall season record in Serie C: Girone C stands at 8 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match.

At home, Cerignola have generally been consistent, with only two of their last ten home games producing under 0.5 total goals. This suggests that their matches at the Monterisi tend to be open and competitive. The team’s ability to find the net regularly, combined with a balanced defensive record, makes them a tough opponent to beat, especially in front of their supporters.

• Ranking: 8th in Serie C: Girone C


• Last 5 matches: 2W – 2D – 1L


• Average goals per match: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded


• Last result: 0-1 win vs Siracusa

Monopoli’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Monopoli come into this derby after a 1-2 home defeat against Catania on January 18, a setback that interrupted their positive run. In their last five matches, they have recorded 3 wins and 2 losses, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding 1.0 per game. Their season record mirrors Cerignola’s balance, with 9 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, and a goal difference that reflects their pragmatic approach to matches.

Despite their solid position in the table, Monopoli have struggled to impose themselves early in games. They have not led at half time in their last 17 away matches and in 18 of their last 20 games, the first half has produced under 1.5 goals. However, the second half often brings more action, as over 0.5 goals have been scored after the break in each of their last 13 matches. This pattern suggests that Monopoli tend to grow into games, often finding their rhythm later on.

• Ranking: 6th in Serie C: Girone C


• Last 5 matches: 3W – 0D – 2L


• Average goals per match: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded


• Last result: 1-2 loss vs Catania


• Under 1.5 goals at half time in 18 of last 20 matches


• Over 0.5 goals in second half in last 13 matches

Head-to-Head and Match Outlook

Historically, the meetings between Audace Cerignola and Monopoli have been balanced. In their last five encounters, Cerignola have won once, drawn twice, and lost twice, scoring an average of 1.0 goal per game while conceding 1.6. The most recent head-to-head ended 2-0 in favor of Cerignola on September 12, 2025, showing that home advantage can play a decisive role in this rivalry.

Given both teams’ current form and statistical trends, this match could follow a familiar pattern: a cautious first half followed by a more open second period. Cerignola’s home consistency and Monopoli’s tendency to score after the break suggest that both sides could find opportunities to hit the target as the game progresses. The balance in their recent performances and the minimal gap in the standings make this a true test of character for both squads.

Audace Cerignola vs Monopoli Prediction and Analysis

With win probabilities estimated at 48% for Audace Cerignola, 28% for a draw, and 24% for Monopoli, the home side appear slightly favored. However, the narrow margins and the unpredictable nature of both teams’ recent results make the outcome far from certain. The statistics also show a near-even split in goal-related markets, with BTTS (Yes) at 48% and Under 2.5 goals slightly more likely at 52%.

Considering Monopoli’s strong record of scoring in away matches — having found the net in each of their last six on the road — and Cerignola’s ability to respond at home, this fixture could well see goals at both ends. The first half may be tight, but the second half is expected to open up, aligning with Monopoli’s trend of late scoring.

Audace Cerignola vs Monopoli prediction by BetMines:
Both Teams To Score – Yes (48% probability)