The upcoming Serie C clash between Audace Cerignola and Potenza Calcio promises to be a tense and finely balanced encounter. Both sides have endured a difficult run of form in recent weeks, and this fixture could prove crucial in shaping their mid-season momentum. Scheduled for Friday evening, the match at Monterisi Stadium pits two teams separated by just one point in the standings, with Cerignola sitting 11th and Potenza 10th in the Serie C: Girone C table. With the relegation zone only five points away, neither team can afford to slip further down the standings.

Audace Cerignola’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Audace Cerignola come into this match following a 1-1 draw against Picerno on January 3, 2026. That result extended their winless streak in the league to five matches, a run that has seen them struggle to convert chances into victories. Over their last five fixtures, Cerignola have recorded one win, three draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their season record stands at six wins, seven draws, and seven losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.

At home, Cerignola’s performances have been inconsistent. Only two of their last ten home matches have seen fewer than 0.5 total goals, suggesting that while they rarely produce high-scoring thrillers, they often manage to find the net. However, defensive lapses have cost them valuable points, and tightening up at the back will be essential if they are to return to winning ways. The team’s inability to maintain leads has been a recurring issue, and with the pressure mounting, a disciplined approach could make the difference.

Potenza Calcio’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Potenza Calcio also find themselves in a challenging phase, having drawn 0-0 against SSC Giugliano on January 4, 2026. Like their opponents, they have recorded one win, three draws, and one defeat in their last five matches. Their attacking output has been slightly better than Cerignola’s, averaging 1.4 goals scored per game while conceding 1.2. Over the course of the season, Potenza’s record reads six wins, eight draws, and six losses, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.

Potenza’s away form has been noteworthy for its consistency in producing goals. In each of their last eleven away matches, there has been at least one goal scored in the second half, and all of their last ten away games have featured over 1.5 total goals. This trend suggests that Potenza tend to open up as matches progress, often finding or conceding goals after the break. However, their inability to turn draws into wins has limited their climb up the table, and they will be eager to change that narrative in Cerignola.

Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview

The recent history between these two sides points to a fairly balanced rivalry. In their last five meetings, Audace Cerignola have won twice, Potenza Calcio once, and two matches have ended in draws. The most recent encounter, played on August 30, 2025, finished 0-0, underlining the defensive caution that often characterizes this fixture. Across those five matches, Cerignola have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game.

Given both teams’ current form and statistical trends, this match could once again be defined by narrow margins. Cerignola’s home advantage might give them a slight edge, but their struggle to maintain defensive solidity could open opportunities for Potenza’s attack, particularly in the second half. On the other hand, Potenza’s tendency to concede late goals could prove costly if they fail to manage the game’s tempo effectively. A low-scoring contest seems likely, with both sides prioritizing caution over risk.

• Audace Cerignola average goals per match: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded.


• Potenza Calcio average goals per match: 1.4 scored, 1.4 conceded.


• Last head-to-head: 0-0 (August 30, 2025).


• Win probabilities — Cerignola: 48%, Draw: 26%, Potenza: 27%.


• BTTS — Yes: 52%, No: 48%.


• Over/Under 2.5 — Over: 48%, Under: 52%.

Audace Cerignola vs Potenza Calcio Prediction and Final Analysis

Both teams enter this fixture under pressure to secure a result that could reignite their campaigns. Cerignola’s home record and Potenza’s attacking consistency suggest that the match could be competitive but not necessarily high-scoring. The statistical balance between the two sides points toward a tight affair, where defensive organization and set-piece efficiency could decide the outcome.

Given the data and recent performances, the most plausible scenario is a match with limited scoring opportunities, particularly in the first half. The combination of Cerignola’s cautious approach and Potenza’s tendency to grow into games supports the expectation of a low goal count overall. Therefore, the prediction leans toward a controlled and tactical battle rather than an open, end-to-end contest.

Audace Cerignola vs Potenza Calcio prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 52% probability.