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Audax Italiano
1 - 2
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Vasco da Gama
Prediction published on May 4, 2026 10:02 PM by Dario in South America - Copa Sudamericana | Modified on May 4, 2026 10:02 PM
The upcoming clash between Audax Italiano and Vasco da Gama in the Copa Sudamericana promises to be one of the most decisive fixtures in Group G. With just one point separating the top and bottom teams, every match carries enormous weight. Both sides currently sit level on four points, and a victory here could provide a crucial advantage in the race for qualification. The Chilean hosts will look to make the most of their home ground, while the Brazilian visitors aim to extend their solid run of form and maintain their position at the top of the group.
Audax Italiano come into this encounter after a 1-1 draw against Unión La Calera on May 2, 2026. The Chilean side have shown consistency in recent weeks, recording one win, three draws, and one defeat in their last five matches. During that period, they averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, reflecting a balanced but unpredictable performance pattern. In the Copa Sudamericana, their record stands at one win, two draws, and one loss, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match.
Despite their attacking potential, Audax Italiano have struggled to capitalize on home advantage. None of their last five home fixtures ended in victory, with two draws and three defeats. Defensively, they have been vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per home game. Moreover, they have trailed at half time in their last three Copa Sudamericana matches, a trend they will need to reverse if they are to challenge for qualification. On the positive side, their matches have been relatively tight, with under 3.5 total goals recorded in each of their last 12 Copa Sudamericana appearances.
Vasco da Gama arrive in Chile after a thrilling 2-2 draw against Flamengo on May 3, 2026. The Brazilian side have been in strong form overall, collecting three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five outings. They have averaged 1.8 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded per match, showing a solid balance between attack and defense. In the Copa Sudamericana, their record mirrors that of their opponents, with one win, one draw, and one loss, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
While Vasco da Gama’s defense has not always been watertight, their attacking consistency has been a key strength. They have managed to score in seven of their last nine away matches, making them a constant threat on the road. However, their games tend to start cautiously, with under 1.5 goals at half time in each of their last ten Copa Sudamericana fixtures. Additionally, under 0.5 goals have been recorded in three of their last fourteen away matches, suggesting that early goals are rare in their games. Their last head-to-head meeting with Audax Italiano ended in a 2-1 victory for the Chileans, a result Vasco da Gama will be eager to avenge.
This Group G encounter is finely balanced, with both teams displaying similar strengths and weaknesses. Audax Italiano have shown resilience but continue to struggle defensively, particularly at home, where they have conceded frequently. Their ability to find the net, however, keeps them competitive in every match. On the other hand, Vasco da Gama have been more efficient in front of goal and boast a stronger recent record, though their defense has also shown occasional lapses.
Given the attacking tendencies of both sides and their recent scoring patterns, this match could once again produce goals at both ends. The statistics suggest that both teams are likely to find the net, as has been the case in several of their recent fixtures. With only one point separating them in the standings, the intensity and urgency of this clash could lead to an open and entertaining contest.
Audax Italiano vs Vasco da Gama prediction from BetMines:
Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 52% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Audax Italiano
Vasco da Gama
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
4
6
2
8
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
9
1
9
1