Augsburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Bundesliga

The 28th matchday of the Bundesliga kicks off with an exciting Bavarian derby between Augsburg and Bayern Munich. At the WWK Arena, the home side aims to secure their 12th consecutive unbeaten result in the league, pushing towards a sixth-place finish that would grant them a spot in next season’s Conference League. After missing the chance to break into the European qualification zone last weekend with a draw against Hoffenheim, Jess Thorup’s squad must win this derby—something they have successfully done twice in their last three home encounters against Bayern Munich. However, standing in their way is a Bayern Munich side on course to secure their 34th Bundesliga title. Following a hard-fought 3-2 victory against St. Pauli, Vincent Kompany’s men maintained a solid six-point lead over Bayer Leverkusen. The Belgian coach, however, must manage his squad carefully in the coming weeks to avoid slipping up. After this Bavarian derby, Bayern Munich faces a double-header in the Champions League quarter-finals against Inter Milan, followed by a crucial Bundesliga clash against Borussia Dortmund.

Augsburg's Recent Form and Key Statistics

Augsburg is one of the Bundesliga’s most in-form teams, currently enjoying an 11-match unbeaten streak in the league, with six wins and five draws—the latest being a 1-1 result away at Hoffenheim.

A key factor in their push for European football has been their defensive solidity. Alongside Mainz, Augsburg boasts the best home defensive record in the Bundesliga, conceding just 12 goals in 13 matches. On the other hand, their attacking output has been underwhelming, as they have the fourth-worst offensive record in the league with only 30 goals, averaging 1.11 per game.

Bayern Munich's Recent Form and Key Statistics

Bayern Munich secured their 20th league win of the season with a narrow 3-2 victory over St. Pauli. That result brought their Bundesliga goal tally to 78, making them by far the most prolific team in the competition, ahead of Bayer Leverkusen’s 62 goals.

If there’s one area where Bayern has shown slight vulnerability, it’s their away form. Out of 39 available points on the road, they have collected 28 (8 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss). That said, they still lead the league in both away goals scored (32) and fewest away goals conceded (12).

Augsburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction and Tactical Overview

Bayern Munich comes into this fixture as the clear favorite. Besides the significant gap in league standings, Bayern has dominated their last five meetings with Augsburg, winning all of them convincingly—including a 3-0 win in the reverse fixture, with a hat-trick from Harry Kane.

Another crucial statistic to note is the high-scoring nature of this matchup. The last five encounters between these two sides have averaged 5.4 goals per game.

While Bayern Munich, led by Kane and company, is expected to secure the three points, this game could see plenty of goals due to the defensive absences for Bayern (Upamecano, Davies, and Ito are all out).

Concerning the Augsburg vs Bayern Munich prediction, the BetMines algorithm predicts a match with more than 2.5 goals. 

• The BetMines prediction for the Augsburg vs Bayern Munich match predicts Over 2.5 goals at 61%.
• The BetMines prediction for the Augsburg vs Bayern Munich match predicts Under 2.5 goals at 39%.

Augsburg vs Bayern Munich Predicted Lineups

Augsburg (3-4-2-1): Dahmen; Matsima, Gouweleeuw, Zesiger; Wolf, Onyeka, Rexhbecaj, Giannoulis; Jensen, Claude-Maurice; Tietz. Coach: Thorup.

Bayern Munich (4-2-3-1): Urbig; Laimer, Kim, Dier, Guerreiro; Goretzka, Kimmich; Olise, Musiala, Sané; Kane. Coach: Kompany.