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Austria Wien
3 - 1
FT
Liepāja
Prediction published on Jul 28, 2026 8:18 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa Conference League | Modified on Jul 28, 2026 8:18 PM
Austria Wien welcome Liepāja on July 30, 2026, for the return leg of their Europa Conference League second qualifying-round tie. The hosts hold a valuable advantage after recording a 2-0 away victory in the opening meeting on July 23. That result leaves Liepāja needing a significant response, while Austria Wien are 90 minutes away from reaching the third qualifying round. Both teams also approach the fixture after convincing domestic wins: Austria Wien defeated Wiener Sport-Club 5-0, and Liepāja overcame FS Jelgava 2-0. With the home side protecting a two-goal lead and the visitors forced to chase the tie, the contrasting requirements should shape an intriguing contest at Generali Arena.
Austria Wien enter the second leg with confidence generated by strong results and a dependable defensive record. Their 2-0 success in the first meeting gave them control of the qualifying tie, with the team preventing Liepāja from scoring while establishing a useful aggregate cushion. Another positive result would take Austria Wien into the third qualifying round for the third time in four seasons, although they fell short at that stage in two of those previous editions.
Their latest performance added further momentum. On July 26, Austria Wien recorded an emphatic 5-0 away win against Wiener Sport-Club in the first round of the Austrian Cup. That result means they have collected three victories and two draws across their last five matches, remaining unbeaten during that sequence. Their averages over those games are particularly encouraging: 2.6 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per match.
Austria Wien have played once in the current Europa Conference League campaign, registering one win, no draws and no defeats. They have averaged two goals scored and none conceded in the competition, reflecting the exact outcome of the first leg. Their broader qualifying trends also point to regular scoring activity. Each of their last ten Europa Conference League matches has produced over 1.5 total goals, while a second-half goal has been recorded in each of their last 15 fixtures in the competition.
The immediate objective is straightforward: manage the advantage without allowing Liepāja an early route back into the contest. Austria Wien have conceded just once across two recent home outings while scoring twice, and their overall form suggests they are well placed to control important periods of the return leg. The 2-0 aggregate lead means they do not need to force the game, but their recent scoring numbers show that they can still offer a substantial attacking threat.
Liepāja began their Europa Conference League campaign in the first qualifying round and advanced after defeating FK Decic in both legs. Those victories produced a 3-1 aggregate success and earned the Latvian side a place in this second-round tie. Their unbeaten European start ended against Austria Wien, however, as the 2-0 first-leg defeat left them with a demanding task in the return fixture.
The visitors responded well in their next match. Liepāja beat FS Jelgava 2-0 away on July 26 in the 24th round of the Latvian Higher League, restoring some confidence before travelling to face Austria Wien. Across their last five games, they have recorded three wins and two defeats, scoring an average of one goal per match and conceding 0.8. Those figures demonstrate a relatively narrow margin between their attacking production and defensive output.
In this season’s Europa Conference League, Liepāja have two wins, no draws and one defeat. Their competition averages stand at one goal scored and one conceded per game. They must now improve on those attacking numbers because one goal alone would not be enough to erase the deficit unless the match continued beyond regular time under the required circumstances. Scoring first would give them an opportunity to apply pressure, but conceding would make their challenge considerably more difficult.
Away results have not always offered consistent encouragement. Before their current two-match winning run on the road, Liepāja had gone eight away games without a victory. In addition, they have been behind at half time in eight of their last 13 away fixtures. At least one second-half goal has been scored in 19 of their previous 21 matches away from home, indicating that important developments have frequently occurred after the interval. Liepāja therefore need to remain competitive early while preserving enough attacking ambition to change the aggregate score.
The first-leg result gives Austria Wien a clear platform for the return meeting. Their unbeaten five-match sequence, recent 5-0 cup victory and average of only 0.6 goals conceded during that run underline their strong position. They can approach the contest with patience, knowing Liepāja must eventually take greater risks in pursuit of the two goals required to level the aggregate score.
Liepāja have nevertheless shown an ability to respond to setbacks. Their 2-0 victory over FS Jelgava arrived immediately after the first-leg loss, and they have won three of their last five matches overall. Their two earlier European victories over FK Decic also show that they have already navigated one qualifying round successfully. The main question is whether they can reproduce enough attacking efficiency against a side that kept them scoreless in the opening encounter.
Match rhythm could be especially important. Austria Wien’s Europa Conference League fixtures have consistently featured second-half goals, while the same pattern has appeared in 19 of Liepāja’s last 21 away matches. Liepāja’s record of trailing at the interval in eight of their previous 13 away games adds further significance to the opening 45 minutes. If Austria Wien avoid early trouble, their control of the tie should strengthen; if Liepāja score first, the pressure surrounding the second leg would increase sharply.
Overall, the available form and head-to-head information place Austria Wien in the stronger position. They won the only listed previous meeting 2-0, have not lost in five matches and have yet to concede in this season’s Europa Conference League. Liepāja arrive with renewed confidence after their domestic away victory, but overturning a two-goal deficit against an in-form opponent represents a much more demanding assignment.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Austria Wien
Liepāja
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
8
2
9
1