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Prediction published on Sep 18, 2026 1:41 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Sep 18, 2026 1:41 PM
Auxerre welcome Brest to the Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps for a Ligue 1 fixture on September 20, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 13:00 local time. The teams have experienced contrasting starts to the league campaign. Auxerre sit 15th after losing three of their opening four matches, although a 1-0 victory over Nice has given them a timely lift. Brest are eighth with one win, two draws and one defeat, making them the more consistent side so far. However, the visitors have conceded in each of their last 13 Ligue 1 games, while Auxerre have averaged 1.3 goals scored per match this season. Those figures suggest that both teams may have opportunities to influence an important contest before the international break.
Auxerre had a difficult opening to the season under Will Still. They suffered defeats against Lens, Angers and Lyon, conceding heavily during that sequence. Their league record currently stands at one win, no draws and three losses, with averages of 1.3 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per fixture.
The home side finally collected their first points of the campaign on September 12, beating Nice 1-0. Cameron Archer scored the only goal with around 15 minutes remaining, while goalkeeper Mamadou Diop secured a clean sheet after a challenging start to the season. Archer has now registered two goals in two appearances for his new club, making him an important attacking option alongside Danny Namaso.
Across their last five matches, Auxerre have recorded two victories and three defeats, scoring an average of 1.2 goals while conceding 2.2 per game. Their improved performance against Nice was therefore significant, but one clean sheet does not completely erase the defensive concerns created by their earlier results. Christ Makosso, Clément Akpa and Axel Tuanzebe are available as defensive options, with Kévin Danois described as an important presence in midfield.
Auxerre remain without Bryan Okoh, Telli Siwe and Assane Dioussé. Marvin Senaya, Lamine Sy, Elikya Legros and Lamfia Dioubaté are uncertain. Their home scoring data also presents a mixed picture: under 0.5 total goals occurred in four of their last 13 home Ligue 1 matches and in three of their last 10 home fixtures overall. The victory over Nice nevertheless gives the hosts a platform from which to seek consecutive positive results.
Brest have lost only once in their first four Ligue 1 matches. They began with 2-2 draws against Le Mans and Toulouse before winning 2-1 away to Le Havre. Their unbeaten opening run ended on September 13 with a narrow 1-0 defeat against Paris Saint Germain.
Despite that loss, Brest created chances to equalise and remained competitive throughout the match. Their season record of one win, two draws and one defeat has produced averages of 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Over their last five fixtures, they have one victory, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.6 against.
The visitors have regularly been involved in matches where both sides find openings. Brest have conceded at least once in each of their last 13 Ligue 1 games, but they scored twice in each of their first three league fixtures this season. There has also been at least one second-half goal in their last 16 away league matches and in their last 11 away games across the available sequence. That trend indicates that the contest may continue to develop after the interval rather than being decided entirely by its opening stages.
Kamory Doumbia has made an excellent start with four goals and one assist. Giovani Versini has also quickly established himself since arriving from Pau, while Ludovic Ajorque has one Ligue 1 goal. In midfield, Hugo Magnetti and Joris Chotard provide options for Julien Lachuer.
Brest will be without Romain Cagnon, Brendan Chardonnet, Mamady Diambou and Noah Edjouma. Even with Chardonnet unavailable, the visitors can call upon Raphaël Le Guen and Gautier Lloris in central defence. Their ability to respond to the defeat against Paris Saint Germain will be central to their prospects in Auxerre.
The result probabilities underline how evenly balanced this Ligue 1 match preview appears. Auxerre have a 37% chance of winning, compared with 35% for Brest and 28% for the draw. Home advantage and the confidence gained from beating Nice support Auxerre, but Brest have been defeated only once in four league games and have already earned an away victory.
The head-to-head summary is similarly close, with Auxerre recording two wins, one draw and two defeats against Brest. Auxerre have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in those meetings, while the most recent encounter ended 3-0 on March 21, 2026. Those numbers do not establish a clear overall advantage for either side.
Goals offer the more compelling angle. Auxerre's season matches have featured high concession figures, and Brest's run of 13 consecutive Ligue 1 games without a clean sheet leaves room for the hosts to score. At the other end, Brest have averaged 1.5 goals per league match, while Auxerre are conceding 2.8 on average. The available probabilities rate both teams to score at 54%, compared with 46% for the opposite outcome. The under 2.5-goal probability is only narrowly higher than the over at 51% to 49%, reinforcing the expectation of a finely poised game rather than a strongly defined low-scoring contest.
Auxerre vs Brest prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Auxerre
Brest
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
3
7
3
7
3.5
4
6
6
4
4.5
7
3
9
1