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Prediction published on Dec 12, 2025 5:02 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Dec 12, 2025 5:02 PM
The upcoming Ligue 1 clash between AJ Auxerre and LOSC Lille promises to be an intriguing battle between two teams with very different ambitions. Scheduled for Sunday at 17:15, this fixture at the Stade de l’Abbé-Deschamps sees a struggling Auxerre side trying to climb out of the relegation zone, while Lille aim to consolidate their position in the top four. The hosts recently ended a long winless streak, while the visitors are looking to bounce back from a midweek setback in Europe.
Auxerre finally found some relief last weekend with a 3-1 victory over Metz, ending a difficult run of nine matches without a win. Despite that success, they remain in a precarious 16th place in Ligue 1, three points behind the first team outside the relegation zone. Their overall record this season stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats, averaging just 0.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. The home side’s recent form shows one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five outings, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Auxerre’s main challenge has been consistency in front of goal. The team has struggled to convert chances, but the recent win against Metz could serve as a turning point. Kévin Danois and Lassine Sinayoko were instrumental in that victory, with Sinayoko now boasting four goals and two assists this season. However, the squad remains weakened by the absences of Francisco Sierralta, Telli Siwe, and Elisha Owusu, while Sinaly Diomandé is doubtful. Coach Christophe Pélissier will hope his side can build on their renewed confidence and make home advantage count against one of the league’s strongest outfits.
LOSC Lille enter this match after a disappointing 1-0 defeat away to Young Boys in the Europa League, but their domestic form remains impressive. The Dogues are currently fourth in Ligue 1, with a record of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses. They have been prolific in attack, averaging 1.9 goals per game while conceding just 1.1. Over their last five league matches, Lille have recorded four wins and one defeat, scoring an average of 2.0 goals and conceding only 0.6. Remarkably, they have avoided draws in 19 of their last 20 matches, underlining their attacking intent and decisive style of play.
In Ligue 1, Lille have been on a roll, winning their last three matches against Paris FC (4-2), Le Havre (1-0), and Marseille (1-0). Their defense has been particularly solid, keeping two consecutive clean sheets in the league. However, the squad is not at full strength: Marc-Aurèle Caillard, Ousmane Touré, Rafael Fernandes, Alexsandro, Calvin Verdonk, and Hamza Igamane are all unavailable, while Matías Fernández-Pardo remains uncertain. Midfielder Ayyoub Bouaddi is suspended after his red card in Europe, which could open the door for Nabil Bentaleb to start alongside the ever-reliable Benjamin André. Up front, veteran striker Olivier Giroud is expected to lead the line once again, having already scored four goals this season.
Historically, LOSC Lille have dominated this fixture. In their last five meetings with Auxerre, Lille have won three and drawn two, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game while conceding only 0.8. The most recent encounter ended 3-1 in favor of Lille on April 20, 2025. These numbers highlight the gap between the two sides, both in terms of quality and consistency.
Auxerre will likely adopt a cautious approach, focusing on defensive organization and quick transitions. Their main hope lies in exploiting counter-attacks and set pieces, areas where they showed improvement against Metz. Lille, on the other hand, are expected to control possession and press high, using their attacking depth to create chances. Given their recent form and superior squad depth, the visitors appear well-positioned to extend their winning streak in the league.
Based on the latest data and performance trends, the BetMines prediction favors a LOSC Lille win (2) with a 47% probability. Auxerre’s chances of victory stand at 28%, while the draw is estimated at 25%. Considering Lille’s attacking efficiency and Auxerre’s defensive vulnerabilities, the visitors are expected to take all three points. Additionally, the likelihood of Over 2.5 goals is 54%, suggesting a lively encounter with multiple scoring opportunities.
Auxerre vs LOSC Lille prediction by BetMines:
LOSC Lille win (2) with 47% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Auxerre
LOSC Lille
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
3
7
4
6
2.5
4
6
6
4
3.5
6
4
9
1
4.5
9
1
10
0