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Auxerre
6:45 PM
September 12, 2026
Nice
Prediction published on Sep 10, 2026 7:14 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Sep 10, 2026 7:14 PM
Auxerre host Nice at the Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps on Saturday, September 12, with kick-off scheduled for 18:45 local time. This Ligue 1 fixture brings together two teams still searching for their first league victory of the season. Auxerre have lost all three of their opening matches and sit 18th, while Nice are 15th after collecting two draws and one defeat. The hosts urgently need a response after conceding at a damaging rate, but the visitors also arrive with concerns of their own, particularly in attack. With neither side having established positive momentum, the contest represents an important opportunity to change the direction of a difficult start.
Auxerre have opened their Ligue 1 campaign with three consecutive defeats. They began with a 5-2 loss against RC Lens, before being beaten 3-1 by Angers and then suffering another 3-1 defeat against Olympique Lyonnais on September 4. Every league loss has therefore come by a margin of at least two goals.
The season figures underline Auxerre's main problem. They are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 3.7 conceded per Ligue 1 match, leaving them without a point after three rounds. Their broader five-match record is slightly more encouraging, with two wins and three defeats, although averages of 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded still indicate a lack of defensive stability.
Mamadou Diop remains in search of his first clean sheet for the club, while Arthur Piedfort has also experienced a challenging beginning in defence. Auxerre will be without Marvin Senaya, Bryan Okoh, Sékou Fofana and Assane Dioussé. The availability of Elikya Legros and Axel Tuanzebe is uncertain.
There are at least attacking options capable of offering encouragement. Rémy Labeau-Lascary, Danny Namaso and Cameron Archer have all scored this season, while Kévin Danois and Romain Faivre will look to make an impact in midfield. Auxerre have found the net in each of their first three league fixtures, but those goals have not been enough to compensate for the number conceded.
Nice have also failed to win in the opening three Ligue 1 rounds, but they have proved more difficult to beat than their hosts. Their only defeat came away to Paris FC, where they lost 3-0. They drew 0-0 with Lorient and recorded a 1-1 result against Le Mans on September 5.
Those results give Nice a record of two draws and one defeat, with averages of 0.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per league game. Across their last five matches, they have drawn four times and lost once, scoring an average of only 0.2 goals while conceding 0.8. The defensive return is considerably stronger than Auxerre's, but the shortage of goals remains a clear obstacle.
Elye Wahi opened his account against Le Mans and will hope that goal can provide a lift to the visiting attack. Nice can also call upon Gauthier Hein, Sofiane Diop and Mohammed Amoura in the offensive department. Elsewhere, Axel Witsel and Youssouf Ndayishimiye are available in midfield, with Jonathan Clauss, Mohamed Abdelmonem and Niels Nkounkou among the defensive options in front of Yehvann Diouf.
The visitors have absentees of their own, as Moïse Bombito, Antoine Mendy and Laurent Abergel are unavailable. Hamza Koutoune and Morgan Sanson are also uncertain. In addition, Nice have not led at half-time in any of their last 17 matches and have gone without a victory in 25 of their previous 27 Ligue 1 games.
This match places Auxerre's vulnerable defence against a Nice attack that has produced only one goal in three league games. The home side's opening results have contained plenty of scoring, but most of that production has come from their opponents. Nice, by contrast, have been involved in two matches featuring no more than two total goals and have conceded only 0.8 goals per game across their last five outings.
The available win probabilities illustrate how open the result remains: Auxerre are rated at 40%, Nice at 32% and the draw at 28%. Home advantage may offer Auxerre a route back into contention, but their run of three straight league defeats makes it difficult to overlook the visitors' comparatively stronger defensive numbers. Nice have drawn four of their last five matches, so another tightly balanced game would fit their recent pattern.
The latest head-to-head meeting finished 2-1 on May 10, 2026. Across the supplied head-to-head summary, Auxerre have two wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Those figures point to a competitive matchup rather than clear control for either team.
From a goals perspective, the numbers pull in different directions. Both Teams To Score is assessed at 53%, yet Under 2.5 goals carries a narrow 52% probability. Auxerre's defensive record creates obvious possibilities for Nice, but the visitors' average of 0.3 goals per league match limits confidence in a high-scoring encounter. If Nice maintain their recent defensive level and Auxerre avoid another open contest, the match could be decided by a small number of chances.
Auxerre vs Nice prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 52% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Auxerre
Nice
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
4
6
1.5
2
8
4
6
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
6
4
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1