At the Abbé-Deschamps Stadium, Auxerre and Olympique Marseille face off in the Saturday night match of Ligue 1's 23rd round. This is a crucial clash for both teams, as they seek important points to achieve their respective seasonal objectives: a safe mid-table finish for Auxerre and direct qualification for the next Champions League for Marseille. The home side currently sits in a comfortable mid-table position, but their 7-point lead over 18th-placed St. Etienne is not enough to guarantee safety just yet. Christophe Pelissier's team will need an exceptional performance to claim all three points, for two key reasons: they haven't won since November 24, and they are facing one of the most in-form teams in Ligue 1. Roberto De Zerbi's Olympique Marseille comes into this match on a three-game winning streak, the latest being a dominant 5-1 victory over St. Etienne. The Italian coach was brought in to restore OM's status as a top team after last season's disappointing eighth-place finish, which left them out of European competitions. So far, he has fully utilized his squad's potential, showcasing an attacking and effective style of play that has secured them a strong second-place position, trailing only the unstoppable Paris Saint-Germain.

Auxerre’s Shape & Key Statistics

Auxerre enters this key match after two consecutive 2-2 draws against Brest and Toulouse. Over their last five matches, they have registered 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 goals conceded per game.

Playing at home could be an advantage for Auxerre, as they have collected 20 of their total 25 points at the Abbé-Deschamps (5 wins, 5 draws, 1 loss). However, it is worth noting that all of their home victories came between September and October.

Olympique Marseille’s Shape & Key Statistics

After thrashing St. Etienne 5-1, Roberto De Zerbi's side secured their third consecutive Ligue 1 win, following victories over Olympique Lyon (3-2) and Angers (2-0). A significant part of Marseille's success is due to their strong attacking phase, as they currently boast the second-best attack in Ligue 1 with 50 goals (2.27 per match).

Marseille’s away record has been impressive so far, with 9 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses (averaging 2.45 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match). Notably, they have won 6 of their last 7 Ligue 1 away games.

Auxerre vs Olympique Marseille Prediction and Tactical Overview

In the last five head-to-head meetings, Marseille has won four times, while Auxerre claimed just one victory—a 3-1 win at the Vélodrome in the reverse fixture. In three of these clashes, Auxerre failed to score, while Marseille found the net in every match.

Despite Auxerre’s strong defensive performances at home (holding PSG to a 0-0 draw), Marseille's current form is exceptional. This match presents a golden opportunity for De Zerbi’s men to consolidate second place and possibly widen the gap over fourth place, especially considering the Lille vs Monaco clash.

As a result, the BetMines algorithm prediction for Auxerre vs Olympique Marseille strongly favors an away win.

• BetMines algorithm prediction for the match Auxerre vs Olympique Marseille predicts the 1 at 24%
• BetMines algorithm prediction for the match Auxerre vs Olympique Marseille predicts the X at 25%
• BetMines algorithm prediction for the match Auxerre vs Olympique Marseille predicts the 2 at 51%

Auxerre vs Olympique Marseille Probable Lineups

Auxerre (4-2-3-1): Leon; Hoever, Jubal Junior, Akpa, Mensah; Owusu, Massengo; Perrin, Hamed Traoré, Sinayoko; Bair. Coach: Pelissier.

Olympique Marseille (3-4-2-1): Rulli; Murillo, Balerdi, Cornelius; Luis Henrique, Bennacer, Hojbjerg, Merlin; Rabiot, Greenwood; Gouiri. Coach: De Zerbi.