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Prediction published on Feb 6, 2026 5:02 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Feb 6, 2026 5:02 PM
The upcoming Ligue 1 clash between AJ Auxerre and Paris FC promises to be a crucial encounter for both sides. Scheduled for Sunday at 17:15, this fixture at the Abbé-Deschamps Stadium could have a significant impact on the relegation battle. Auxerre are in desperate need of points to escape the drop zone, while Paris FC aim to consolidate their mid-table position and move further away from danger. With both teams showing contrasting forms in recent weeks, the match is expected to be tense and hard-fought.
Auxerre have been struggling for consistency throughout the season. The team currently sits 17th in the Ligue 1 standings, with a record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 13 defeats. Their offensive output has been particularly concerning, averaging only 0.7 goals per match while conceding 1.5 goals per game. The lack of efficiency in front of goal has cost them dearly, as they have failed to win any of their last five league matches, collecting just one point during that stretch.
Their most recent result, a 0-0 draw against Toulouse on February 1, offered a small sign of improvement, but the inability to convert chances remains a major issue. In their last ten Ligue 1 fixtures, two have ended with under 0.5 total goals, underlining their offensive struggles. At home, Auxerre have also found it difficult to impose themselves, losing their last two matches at the Abbé-Deschamps against Lille (3-4) and PSG (0-1).
Despite these challenges, there are still individual players capable of making a difference. Lassine Sinayoko has been one of the few bright spots, scoring six goals this season, while Romain Faivre continues to search for his first goal with the club. In midfield, Oussama El Azzouzi and Kévin Danois have been regular starters, providing stability in an otherwise inconsistent side. However, the absence of Francisco Sierralta remains a blow for the defensive line.
Paris FC approach this match in a more comfortable position, sitting 14th in the table with 5 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats. Their recent form has been encouraging, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 defeat in their last five matches. The team averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game this season, showing a more balanced profile compared to their opponents.
Although they suffered a 2-0 defeat to Lorient in the Coupe de France on February 4, their league performances have been solid. Paris FC are unbeaten in their last three Ligue 1 matches, including a 2-2 draw against Marseille and a 0-0 stalemate with Angers. Their last away victory came at Nantes (1-2), proving their ability to perform on the road. In their last ten league games, two have ended with under 0.5 total goals, suggesting that they can adapt to tight, low-scoring contests when needed.
The winter transfer window brought several reinforcements to the capital club, including Ciro Immobile, Marshall Munetsi, Diego Coppola, and Luca Koleosho. Immobile could make his first start this weekend, adding valuable experience to the attack. Meanwhile, Ilan Kebbal continues to shine with 8 goals and 4 assists, making him one of the most productive players in the squad. However, injuries to Hamari Traoré, Sofiane Alakouch, Samir Chergui, Thibault De Smet, and Pierre-Yves Hamel limit the team’s defensive options.
The last meeting between these two sides ended in a 1-1 draw on November 29, 2025. Historically, Auxerre have a slight edge in this fixture, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat in their last five encounters, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. However, current form suggests that Paris FC may have the upper hand this time.
Auxerre’s main challenge will be to rediscover their attacking rhythm while maintaining defensive discipline. Their inability to score regularly has placed immense pressure on their backline, which has conceded in most of their recent outings. Paris FC, on the other hand, have shown resilience and tactical balance, often relying on quick transitions and the creativity of Kebbal to unlock defenses. The addition of Immobile could further strengthen their offensive threat.
Given the contrasting dynamics, the match is likely to be closely contested. Auxerre will look to capitalize on home advantage, while Paris FC aim to exploit their opponent’s fragile confidence. Both teams have shown tendencies toward low-scoring games, but the visitors’ superior form and attacking options could make the difference.
According to the latest data, the most probable outcome for this Ligue 1 fixture is a Paris FC win (2) with a 48% probability. A draw (X) stands at 25%, while an Auxerre win (1) is estimated at 27%. Considering the recent performances and the momentum of both sides, Paris FC appear well-positioned to extend their unbeaten league run and possibly secure another valuable away victory.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Auxerre
Paris
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
4
6
5
5
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
9
1
8
2