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Avellino
7:00 PM
August 29, 2026
Vicenza
Prediction published on Aug 27, 2026 8:04 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Aug 27, 2026 8:04 PM
Avellino host Vicenza in an intriguing Serie B fixture on August 29, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 19:00 at the Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi. The two teams experienced contrasting opening results: Avellino suffered a 2-1 defeat against Arezzo, while Vicenza emerged from a five-goal contest with a 3-2 victory over Catanzaro. Those results leave the hosts 14th in Serie B and the visitors first ahead of this meeting. Although it remains an early stage of the campaign, both sides already have clear incentives. Avellino need a response after beginning with a loss, whereas Vicenza will seek to preserve the momentum generated by their opening win.
Avellino opened their Serie B season with a 2-1 home defeat against Arezzo on August 22. Conceding twice in that fixture continued a concerning defensive trend highlighted by their broader recent record. Across their last five matches, the hosts have registered one victory, one draw and three defeats, scoring an average of 1.6 goals while conceding 2.6 per game.
Their current Serie B numbers naturally come from a small sample, but they still underline the immediate challenge. Avellino have no points from one match, with averages of one goal scored and two conceded. The team must therefore improve its defensive resistance without losing the attacking output that has allowed it to average more than one goal across its last five outings.
There are also signs that Avellino can keep matches controlled for long periods, especially before the interval. Their recent Serie B fixtures have consistently produced fewer than 1.5 first-half goals, while the team have avoided being behind at half-time in 18 of their last 20 home matches. The same record applies when only their recent home games in Serie B are considered. This suggests that the hosts have frequently remained competitive during the opening 45 minutes, even when the overall result has not always gone their way.
Another notable sequence is that each of Avellino's last ten matches has finished with under 3.5 total goals. That record points towards a ceiling on the scoreline, although the 2-1 loss to Arezzo still showed that three goals can be reached. Avellino's task is to turn their established first-half resilience into a complete performance and avoid the defensive problems reflected in their recent average of 2.6 goals conceded.
Vicenza arrive in stronger form after beating Catanzaro 3-2 on August 21. The victory provided three points and demonstrated the attacking promise described in their recent performances. Their last five matches have produced three wins and two draws, meaning the visitors are unbeaten during that sequence. They have averaged 2.2 goals scored and only 1.0 conceded per match across those five fixtures.
The opening round also placed Vicenza first in the Serie B ranking supplied for this game. Their season record stands at one win, no draws and no defeats, with averages of three goals scored and two conceded. The 3-2 scoreline illustrates both sides of their early profile: Vicenza created enough to win a high-scoring match, but they also allowed their opponents to find the net twice.
The visitors enter this higher-level competition after a campaign in which they won Serie C with months to spare. According to the available match context, their approach has remained positive, and the squad contains several attacking players capable of making a difference. Their performance against Catanzaro strengthened that impression, while the five-match figures provide additional evidence of consistent production in front of goal.
Vicenza nevertheless face an Avellino side with a strong record of staying level or ahead at the break in home fixtures. Patience may therefore be important during the early stages. If the visitors reproduce their recent scoring average, they can put significant pressure on a home defence that has struggled across its latest matches, but their two goals conceded in the opening round also leave Avellino with reasons to believe they can contribute to the scoreline.
The form comparison gives Vicenza the better recent sequence. They are unbeaten in five matches, with three victories, while Avellino have lost three times over the same number of games. The scoring averages also favour the visitors: Vicenza have produced 2.2 goals per match compared with Avellino's 1.6, and their average of one goal conceded is considerably lower than the hosts' 2.6.
However, the supplied win probabilities present a more balanced contest than the recent results alone might suggest. Avellino have a 41% chance of victory, compared with 33% for Vicenza and 26% for the draw. The available decimal odds follow a similar pattern, pricing a home win at 2.40, an away win at 2.80 and the draw at 3.10. Home advantage and Avellino's record of avoiding a half-time deficit in 18 of their last 20 home games help explain why the hosts cannot be dismissed.
Goals remain central to the preview. Both opening league matches contained three or more goals, with Avellino losing 2-1 and Vicenza winning 3-2. The probability figures assign 54% to both teams scoring and 52% to over 2.5 goals. At the same time, Avellino's run of ten matches under 3.5 goals and their sequence of low-scoring first halves indicate that the contest may build gradually rather than become immediately open.
The head-to-head record is evenly balanced. Across the supplied summary, Avellino have one win, Vicenza have one win and three meetings have ended in draws. Avellino averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded over that series. The most recent meeting finished 2-1 on June 2, 2024, showing that a competitive game with goals at both ends is compatible with the history provided.
Overall, Avellino's need for a reaction meets Vicenza's stronger form and greater recent attacking output. The hosts have scored in their opener and average 1.6 goals over five games, while the visitors have just recorded three goals against Catanzaro. With both teams also conceding twice in their first Serie B fixture, the evidence supports the prospect of at least two goals without requiring an especially high final score.
Avellino vs Vicenza prediction from BetMines: Over 1.5 goals with 76% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Avellino
Vicenza
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
2
8
3
7
3.5
5
5
3
7
4.5
7
3
6
4