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AVS
0 - 1
FT
Arouca
Prediction published on Jan 15, 2026 8:04 PM by Dario in Portugal - Liga Portugal | Modified on Jan 15, 2026 8:04 PM
The upcoming clash between AVS and Arouca in the 18th round of Liga Portugal Betclic promises to be a tense and decisive encounter in the battle for survival. Both sides are struggling near the bottom of the table, and this match could have a significant impact on their hopes of staying in the top flight. The home team, AVS, sit at the foot of the standings, while Arouca occupy the playoff position just two places above. With only ten points separating them, the stakes could not be higher as both teams aim to turn their fortunes around.
AVS enter this fixture in desperate need of a victory. They have endured a difficult campaign so far, sitting 18th in the Liga Portugal table with just four points from 17 matches. The team has yet to record a single win this season, with a record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 13 defeats. Their defensive struggles have been evident, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per game while scoring only 0.7. In their most recent outing, AVS fell 0-2 at home to Moreirense on January 3, marking their second consecutive defeat.
Their home form has been particularly concerning. AVS have not won in their last 17 home matches, and they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 16 home league games. Moreover, over 1.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 13 Liga Portugal fixtures, and goals in the second half have been a consistent feature, appearing in 10 consecutive home matches. Despite these struggles, the team has shown flashes of promise, with players like Jaume Grau and Babatunde Akinsola offering glimpses of creativity and energy in attack.
With their defense leaking goals and their attack struggling to find consistency, AVS will need a major improvement to secure their first win of the season. However, playing at home could provide the spark they need to finally break their winless streak.
Arouca have also endured a challenging season, currently sitting 16th in the table with 14 points. Their record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats reflects a team that has struggled for consistency. In their last match, they suffered a 3-1 defeat away to Tondela, a result that increased the pressure on the squad. Over their last five games, Arouca have managed one win, two draws, and two losses, scoring an average of 1.0 goal per game while conceding 1.6.
Despite their difficulties, Arouca have shown signs of resilience. Earlier in the season, they managed a morale-boosting home win against Alverca and followed it up with draws against Santa Clara and Gil Vicente. However, their defensive vulnerabilities remain a concern, as they have conceded an average of 2.5 goals per match this season. The attacking duo of Naïs Djouahra and Alfonso Trezza have been bright spots, each contributing six goals, while midfielder Taichi Fukui and full-back Tiago Esgaio have been key figures in maintaining balance across the pitch.
With only a narrow cushion above the relegation zone, Arouca will be eager to bounce back and secure a positive result. Their previous head-to-head record against AVS is encouraging, with two wins and one draw in their last three meetings, including a 3-1 victory earlier this season.
This fixture brings together two sides that have struggled defensively but still possess attacking potential. AVS have conceded in every league match this season, while Arouca’s backline has also been far from solid. Given these trends, goals at both ends seem likely. The home side will be motivated to end their long winless run, while Arouca will aim to avoid slipping deeper into the relegation battle.
Historically, matches between these two teams have produced goals, with an average of 2.4 total goals per game in their last three encounters. Both teams have shown a tendency to concede in the second half, suggesting that late drama could once again be on the cards. With AVS fighting for survival and Arouca seeking stability, this match could turn into an open and entertaining contest.
Considering the current form and statistical indicators, the most probable outcome points toward both teams finding the net. AVS’s defensive frailties and Arouca’s attacking intent make this scenario highly plausible.
AVS vs Arouca prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 52% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
AVS
Arouca
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
3
7
0
10
1.5
4
6
4
6
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
10
0
9
1