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AVS
3 - 0
FT
Estoril
Prediction published on Feb 13, 2026 8:01 PM by Dario in Portugal - Liga Portugal | Modified on Feb 13, 2026 8:01 PM
The upcoming Liga Portugal Betclic clash between AVS and Estoril promises to be a fascinating encounter between two sides living very different realities in the league table. Scheduled for Sunday at 18:00, this match at the Estádio do Clube Desportivo das Aves could prove decisive for the home team’s survival hopes. While AVS are struggling at the bottom of the standings, Estoril arrive in good form and with their attacking confidence high. The contrast in momentum and morale sets the stage for a potentially open and entertaining game.
It has been a difficult campaign for AVS, who remain rooted to the bottom of the Liga Portugal table with just five points after 21 rounds. Their record of 0 wins, 5 draws, and 16 defeats highlights the scale of their struggles. The team has averaged only 0.7 goals scored per match while conceding 2.6 goals on average, a statistic that underlines their defensive fragility. In their last five league outings, AVS have recorded no victories, two draws, and three losses, including a 3-1 defeat away to Famalicão on February 9, despite taking an early lead.
At home, the numbers are equally concerning. AVS have not won any of their last 18 home matches in Liga Portugal and have conceded at least one goal in each of those games. They have also been trailing at half-time in their last three home fixtures. Despite these negative trends, there have been glimpses of resilience, such as their spirited performance against Sporting in the Portuguese Cup, where they forced extra time before losing 3-2. Players like Akinsola, Devenish, and Tomané have been among the few bright spots, while Diego Duarte recently scored his second goal of the season in the defeat to Famalicão.
Coach João Henriques faces a tough challenge, with Guillem Molina and Antoine Baroan unavailable. The team’s main task will be to rediscover belief and defensive stability, as every remaining fixture now feels like a final in their battle to avoid relegation.
In stark contrast, Estoril approach this fixture in a comfortable position, sitting 7th in the table with 30 points. Their recent form has been impressive, with three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five matches. The team’s attacking output has been particularly strong, averaging 3.2 goals scored per game during that period. Their last league outing ended in a 2-2 home draw against Tondela, a match in which they showed character by recovering from a two-goal deficit within minutes thanks to strikes from João Carvalho and Ferro.
Estoril’s attacking prowess has been evident throughout the season, with an average of 2.1 goals scored per match. They have been involved in high-scoring encounters, as Over 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last six Liga Portugal games. Away from home, they have also been consistent entertainers, with Over 1.5 goals in 19 of their last 20 away fixtures and at least one goal scored in the second half in nearly all of them. The team’s offensive rhythm is driven by players like Yanis Begraoui, who has already netted 15 times, and Rafik Guitane, who has contributed three goals and seven assists in 19 appearances.
Coach Ian Cathro will be without Israelov and Tsoungui, while Ferro and Lacximicant remain doubtful. Nevertheless, Estoril’s collective organization and attacking fluidity make them a dangerous opponent for any side, particularly one struggling defensively like AVS.
This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting objectives: AVS fighting for survival and Estoril pushing to consolidate their top-half position. The home side’s defensive issues and inability to keep clean sheets suggest that Estoril’s attacking players will find opportunities to exploit. However, AVS have shown that they can score, having found the net in several recent matches despite their poor results.
Historically, this matchup has favored Estoril, who have won two of the last three meetings, including a 3-1 victory earlier this season. Given the trends, another open and goal-filled contest seems likely. Both teams tend to produce action-packed second halves, with Over 0.5 goals in the second half occurring in 34 of AVS’s last 36 league games and in 19 of Estoril’s last 20 away matches.
Considering the attacking form of the visitors and the defensive vulnerabilities of the hosts, this match could once again deliver plenty of goals and entertainment for the neutral fans.
AVS vs Estoril prediction by BetMines:
Over 2.5 goals with 52% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
AVS
Estoril
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
3
7
1
9
1.5
4
6
4
6
2.5
6
4
6
4
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
10
0
9
1