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AVS
0 - 0
FT
Estrela Amadora
Prediction published on Feb 26, 2026 5:02 PM by Dario in Portugal - Liga Portugal | Modified on Feb 26, 2026 5:02 PM
The upcoming clash between AVS and Estrela Amadora opens Saturday’s action in the 24th round of Liga Portugal Betclic. Scheduled for 15:30 at the Estádio do Clube Desportivo das Aves, this encounter brings together two sides fighting for survival, though in very different circumstances. The home team, rooted to the bottom of the table, desperately needs a win to keep their faint hopes of avoiding relegation alive. Meanwhile, Estrela Amadora, sitting mid-table, will look to bounce back from a poor run and consolidate their position above the danger zone.
AVS enter this fixture in a critical situation, occupying the 18th and last position in Liga Portugal with only eight points. Their season record of 1 win, 5 draws, and 17 defeats highlights the scale of their struggles. The team has averaged just 0.8 goals scored per match while conceding 2.5 goals on average, a defensive weakness that has cost them dearly throughout the campaign.
In their last five matches, AVS have managed 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, scoring 1.2 goals per game and conceding 2.4. Their only victory came in a 3-0 home triumph over Estoril, a rare bright spot in an otherwise difficult season. However, that momentum quickly faded after a heavy 3-0 defeat to Benfica in the following round. The team has failed to win in 23 of their last 24 league matches and has conceded at least one goal in nearly every game during that stretch.
At home, AVS have also struggled to impose themselves, often falling behind early. They have lost at half time in 8 of their last 13 home matches, and their inability to control games from the start has been a recurring issue. Despite these numbers, the team continues to show flashes of attacking intent, particularly through players like Babatunde Akinsola and Tomané, while veteran striker Nenê remains their top scorer with five goals. The absence of Antoine Baroan and the uncertainty surrounding Pedro Lima could, however, limit their options.
Estrela Amadora approach this match in a more comfortable position, sitting 12th in the table with 23 points. Their season record stands at 5 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Although not entirely safe, they maintain a five-point cushion above the relegation play-off zone.
Recent form, however, has been concerning. The team has suffered two consecutive defeats — a 1-2 loss to Vitória SC followed by a 0-2 home defeat to Tondela. In their last five matches, Estrela have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, scoring only 0.6 goals per game. Their attack has struggled to find consistency, and away from home, they have seen Under 0.5 goals in 2 of their last 10 league trips, suggesting a tendency toward low-scoring performances.
Defensively, the visitors face additional challenges this weekend. Luan Patrick is suspended after being sent off in the last match, while Bruno Langa and Yahya Kalley remain doubtful due to fitness issues. On the attacking front, Jovane Cabral continues to be their main threat, supported by Abraham Marcus and Sydney van Hooijdonk, who has already found the net since joining the club. Estrela will aim to replicate their success from the first meeting this season, when they defeated AVS 3-0 at home.
This fixture has all the ingredients of a tense relegation battle. For AVS, only a win will do, and they are expected to press high from the opening whistle, trying to unsettle Estrela’s defense. Such an approach could create opportunities but also leave gaps at the back, an area where they have been repeatedly punished this season. The home side’s main challenge will be maintaining defensive discipline while capitalizing on their limited chances.
Estrela Amadora, on the other hand, will likely adopt a more balanced approach, seeking to exploit spaces left by AVS’s aggressive pressing. Their recent struggles in front of goal suggest they may rely on quick transitions and individual brilliance from their forwards. Given both teams’ defensive vulnerabilities and the urgency of the situation, this match could turn into an open contest with several scoring opportunities on both ends.
Considering the statistical trends and the attacking mindset both teams are expected to adopt, this encounter promises entertainment and goals. AVS’s defensive fragility combined with Estrela’s need to recover form could lead to a lively match with chances at both ends. The most likely scenario points toward a high-scoring game, with both sides contributing to the scoreline.
AVS vs Estrela Amadora prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 52% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
AVS
Estrela Amadora
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
3
7
2
8
1.5
4
6
4
6
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
10
0
9
1