AVS welcome Farense on Sunday, September 13, 2026, for a Liga Portugal 2 fixture scheduled to begin at 10:00 local time. The sixth-round meeting at the Estádio do Clube Desportivo das Aves brings together two teams seeking a response after defeats in their latest matches. AVS are 13th in the league ranking after collecting five points from five games, while Farense sit 10th following two wins, one draw and one defeat. The hosts need a positive result to move away from the relegation places, but the visitors will also be determined to recover after taking only one point across their previous two rounds. With neither side carrying convincing recent momentum into the contest, the AVS vs Farense match preview points toward a competitive encounter in Vila das Aves.

AVS Recent Form and Key Statistics

AVS appeared to be building momentum after two draws and a convincing victory over Feirense in which they kept a clean sheet. That recovery was interrupted on September 7, however, when they suffered a 2-1 defeat against Lusitania FC Lourosa. It was their second loss of the Liga Portugal 2 season and left the team with a record of one win, two draws and two defeats.

The hosts have scored an average of 1.2 goals per match while conceding at exactly the same rate. Their results therefore reflect a team that has been evenly balanced in terms of goals for and against, but which has not converted enough matches into victories. Across their last five outings, AVS have registered one win, two draws and two defeats, again averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.

The opening stages of matches have been particularly notable. AVS have failed to win the first half in 24 of their last 25 matches, while seven of their previous eight home fixtures have been level at half-time. Those figures suggest that establishing an early advantage has frequently proved difficult, even when playing at home. At the same time, only four of their last 16 matches have finished with under 0.5 total goals, so completely goalless contests have not been the dominant pattern.

• Liga Portugal 2 record: one win, two draws and two defeats.
• Last five matches: one win, two draws and two losses.
• Average goals scored: 1.2 per match.
• Average goals conceded: 1.2 per match.
• Half-time trend: level in seven of the last eight AVS home matches.

The circumstances should encourage AVS to show greater initiative, especially after the setback against Lusitania FC Lourosa. A more aggressive approach could create opportunities, although it may also provide Farense with space to attack. The main challenge for the home side will be turning a competitive performance into the victory they need.

Farense Recent Form and Key Statistics

Farense made an encouraging start by recording two consecutive victories, but their form then declined. A home draw against Felgueiras was followed by a 2-1 away defeat to Sporting CP II on August 30. As a result, the visitors have earned only one point from their last two league fixtures and arrive needing to halt that negative sequence.

Their season record remains stronger than that of AVS: two victories, one draw and one defeat, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. When the most recent five matches are considered, Farense have two wins, one draw and two defeats. Over that period, they have averaged 1.6 goals for and 1.4 against.

Despite those scoring averages, Farense matches have generally stayed below a high goal threshold. Under 3.5 total goals has landed in 25 of their last 27 matches. That is a substantial trend and indicates that their fixtures have rarely developed into contests featuring four or more goals. Their latest 2-1 defeat also remained within that pattern.

• Liga Portugal 2 record: two wins, one draw and one defeat.
• Last five matches: two victories, one draw and two losses.
• Season scoring average: 1.8 goals per match.
• Season concession average: 1.3 goals per match.
• Goals trend: under 3.5 in 25 of the last 27 Farense matches.

Farense have shown enough attacking output to pose a threat, but the draw with Felgueiras and defeat to Sporting CP II provide less encouraging evidence immediately before this trip. They nevertheless hold the better league record and sit three places above AVS, making this a demanding assignment for the home team.

AVS vs Farense Match Analysis

The available numbers present a closely matched Liga Portugal 2 contest. The calculated win probabilities give AVS a 30% chance, the draw 31% and Farense 39%. Farense consequently have the largest individual win probability, although the narrow margins underline how open the result remains.

Recent performances offer reasons for caution on both sides. AVS have won only once in five matches, while Farense have followed two victories with a draw and a defeat. The home team's repeated half-time draws could make the opening period especially tight, with AVS level at the interval in seven of their last eight home games. Their failure to lead at half-time in 24 of 25 matches further supports the possibility of a measured beginning.

The scoring data also leans toward a controlled game rather than a high-scoring shootout. The probability model places under 2.5 goals at 60%, compared with 40% for over 2.5. Both teams to score is rated at 46% for yes and 54% for no. Farense's run of 25 under-3.5 results in 27 matches adds further weight to the expectation of a limited scoreline.

The head-to-head information follows a similarly restrained pattern. The latest listed meeting finished 0-1 on March 2, 2025. The broader AVS record in this matchup stands at one win, one draw and no defeats, with an average of 0.5 goals scored and 0.0 conceded. These figures do not point toward an especially prolific history between the teams.

AVS should have motivation to react at home, but their difficulty in taking first-half leads and Farense's stronger season record complicate the task. Farense, meanwhile, must improve on their last two results if they are to confirm their statistical edge. Combining the recent form, goal probabilities and head-to-head numbers, a match decided by a small margin appears more consistent with the available evidence than an open contest containing several goals.

AVS vs Farense prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 60% probability.