AZ Alkmaar welcome Telstar to the AFAS Stadion on Sunday, September 20, for a North Holland meeting in the seventh round of the Eredivisie. Kick-off in Alkmaar is scheduled for 12:30 local time. The hosts enter the fixture in second place after collecting five victories and one draw from their opening six league matches, while Telstar sit 13th with one win, two draws and three defeats. AZ are therefore the clear favorites, but they must respond to a 1-0 loss against Sunderland on September 16. Telstar travel after a goalless draw with SC Heerenveen, although their wider form remains difficult. With the international break following this fixture, both teams have one final opportunity to secure a positive result before the domestic schedule pauses.

AZ Alkmaar Recent Form and Key Statistics

AZ Alkmaar have made an excellent start to their Eredivisie campaign, remaining unbeaten through six rounds. Their record of five wins and one draw has taken them to second place, while their league averages underline the strength of their performances: 2.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game.

Across their last five matches in all competitions, AZ have registered three victories, one draw and one defeat. They scored an average of 2.2 goals per match during that sequence and conceded 1.2. The only loss in that five-game period was the 1-0 result against Sunderland, meaning the home side must quickly recover before returning to league action.

The long-term home numbers offer AZ substantial encouragement. They are unbeaten in their last 16 home matches and have scored at least once in each of their previous 20 fixtures on their own ground. In the Eredivisie specifically, AZ have found the net in 14 consecutive home games. Those runs indicate that Telstar are likely to face sustained pressure from a team that has consistently produced goals at the AFAS Stadion.

• AZ have recorded over 1.5 total goals in their last 19 home matches.
• The same total-goals outcome has occurred in their previous 12 home Eredivisie fixtures.
• At least two total goals were recorded in 19 of AZ's last 20 league matches.
• AZ have not been behind at half-time in any of their last 16 home games.
• They have led at the interval in eight of their previous 11 home fixtures.

Ro-Zangelo Daal has been one of AZ's most productive players during the opening phase of the season. The 22-year-old left winger has scored five times in his first eight appearances, giving him a higher total than Mexx Meerdink. The available squad information states that Stije Resink and Denso Kasius are the two players not included among the otherwise fit group.

Telstar Recent Form and Key Statistics

Telstar began their league season by defeating NEC, but they have not added another victory in the following five rounds. Their two subsequent points came against SC Cambuur and SC Heerenveen, with the most recent fixture ending in a 0-0 draw against Heerenveen on September 13.

The visitors have taken five points from six Eredivisie games, leaving them 13th in the standings. Their season record stands at one win, two draws and three defeats, with averages of 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. Their last-five figures are even more challenging: no wins, two draws and three losses, accompanied by averages of only 0.6 goals for and 2.0 against.

Telstar have failed to score in three of their last four matches and conceded seven goals across those four games. That lack of attacking consistency is a major concern before facing an AZ side that has not lost at home in 16 matches. However, Telstar did keep a clean sheet in their latest game, and the goalless result against SC Heerenveen at least ended that contest without another defeat.

Second-half action has been a regular feature of Telstar's fixtures. At least one goal after the interval has been recorded in 30 of their last 32 matches, as well as 26 of their previous 28 Eredivisie games. This pattern is also visible in AZ's data, with a second-half goal occurring in each of the hosts' last 10 matches and in 18 of their last 20 home fixtures.

The supplied squad information describes Telstar's group as fit and available. Goalkeeper Ronald Koeman Jr. is also the club's leading scorer with two goals, both converted from the penalty spot. His unusual position at the top of the scoring list further illustrates how limited Telstar's attacking output has been during the opening weeks of the campaign.

AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar Match Analysis

The contrast between the teams is clear. AZ are unbeaten in the Eredivisie, have won five of six league games and average 2.8 goals per match. Telstar, by comparison, are without a victory in five rounds and have averaged fewer than one goal per game over the season. The supplied match probabilities also favor the hosts strongly, assigning AZ a 70% chance of victory, compared with 19% for a draw and 11% for a Telstar win.

Home form could prove decisive. AZ have repeatedly scored at the AFAS Stadion, frequently reached half-time without trailing and produced at least two total goals in a long sequence of home fixtures. Their ability to start strongly is particularly relevant, as they have led at the break in six of their last 10 home Eredivisie matches. Even if the game remains close early on, both teams' statistical records point to a significant chance of the scoring developing after half-time.

Telstar's best source of encouragement comes from the latest 0-0 draw and the relatively close head-to-head record. AZ have won four of the five listed meetings, with Telstar winning the other, but AZ's average in those encounters is only 1.2 goals scored against 1.0 conceded. The most recent meeting finished 2-1 on March 4, 2026, showing that the visitors have previously kept the margin narrow.

Nevertheless, current league form gives AZ the stronger case. Their consistent home scoring, unbeaten domestic record and superior attacking average all support the hosts, while Telstar's three scoreless performances in four games make an upset difficult to justify. AZ's midweek defeat introduces a note of caution, but the overall evidence still points toward the Alkmaar side returning to winning ways before the international break.

AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar prediction from BetMines: AZ Alkmaar win (1) with 70% probability.