AZ Alkmaar welcome Willem II to the AFAS Stadion on September 11, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 local time. This Eredivisie fixture brings together teams that have made sharply contrasting starts to the season. AZ lead the standings after winning all five of their league matches, while Willem II are 17th with one draw and three defeats from four games. The home side have combined a perfect record with consistent attacking production, averaging 3.2 goals per match. Willem II, meanwhile, are still searching for their first league victory and have conceded an average of 3.3 goals per game. Those numbers make AZ the clear favorites, although the visitors have scored in each of their last 16 away matches and cannot be dismissed as an attacking threat.

AZ Alkmaar Recent Form and Key Statistics

AZ Alkmaar enter the match with five wins from five Eredivisie games. Their latest result was a 3-2 victory against SC Heerenveen on September 6, extending an excellent opening sequence. Earlier victories highlighted in their recent run include a 5-2 success over Go Ahead Eagles and a 2-0 win against Fortuna Sittard. Across their opening five league fixtures, AZ have averaged 3.2 goals scored and only 1.0 conceded per match.

The home record adds further weight to AZ’s position as favorites. They are unbeaten in their last 15 home matches and have scored at least once in each of their previous 19 games at the AFAS Stadion. In Eredivisie action specifically, AZ have found the net in 13 consecutive home fixtures. At least two goals have also been recorded in each of their last 13 home matches, underlining how regularly their games at this venue produce meaningful attacking action.

• Five wins, no draws and no defeats in the last five matches.
• Average of 3.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded during that sequence.
• Unbeaten in their previous 15 home fixtures.
• At least one AZ goal in each of their last 19 home matches.
• Over 1.5 total goals in 22 of their last 23 matches.

AZ have also avoided going into half-time behind in their last 15 home matches. They led at the interval in seven of their previous ten home fixtures and have not lost the first half in 18 of their last 20 games overall. In addition, a second-half goal was scored in 29 of their last 32 matches. These trends suggest that AZ have been capable of applying pressure across different stages of games rather than depending on one short period.

Willem II Recent Form and Key Statistics

Willem II approach this trip after a 3-0 home defeat against Excelsior on September 5. Their recent sequence contains one win, one draw and three losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 2.8 conceded over those five matches. Their Eredivisie record is less encouraging: no wins, one draw and three defeats, alongside averages of 1.0 goal scored and 3.3 conceded per game.

The visitors’ other stated results include a 4-1 defeat against NEC Nijmegen, a 4-1 loss to Go Ahead Eagles and a 2-2 draw with SC Heerenveen. This set of scorelines illustrates the defensive problems Willem II have experienced during the opening part of the campaign. Facing the league leaders away from home therefore represents a demanding test, particularly given AZ’s scoring average and long unbeaten home sequence.

There are nevertheless two away trends that provide Willem II with some encouragement. They have scored at least once in each of their last 16 away matches, while they have led at half-time in seven of their previous ten away fixtures. Those records indicate that the visitors have regularly produced attacking moments on their travels, even though their current league results and concession rate remain significant concerns.

• No league wins so far, with one draw and three defeats.
• An average of 3.3 goals conceded per Eredivisie match.
• Three defeats across their last five matches.
• At least one Willem II goal in each of their previous 16 away games.
• Half-time leads in seven of their last ten away matches.

AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II Match Analysis

The statistical comparison gives AZ Alkmaar a substantial advantage. The hosts have collected every available point, score more than three goals per match on average and remain unbeaten across a long run of home games. Willem II have yet to win in the Eredivisie this season and travel after conceding three goals at home to Excelsior. The supplied win probabilities reflect that contrast, assigning AZ a 62% chance of victory, compared with 23% for a draw and 15% for a Willem II win.

Goals are another important part of the preview. Over 1.5 total goals have been recorded in AZ’s last 18 home matches, as well as in 11 consecutive Eredivisie home fixtures. The same threshold has landed in 22 of AZ’s previous 23 games overall. Willem II’s defensive average may give the leaders opportunities to extend that pattern, although the visitors’ 16-match away scoring run means AZ will still need to manage the threat at the other end.

The latest head-to-head meeting ended in a 2-0 result on February 2, 2025. Across the supplied head-to-head summary, AZ have three wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. That record supports the broader picture of home superiority without removing the possibility of resistance from Willem II.

Overall, AZ’s perfect league start, strong scoring numbers and 15-match unbeaten home run form the clearest basis for the match outlook. Willem II’s away scoring sequence deserves attention, but it is balanced against a difficult start and a high rate of goals conceded. If the hosts maintain the attacking level shown in their first five league fixtures, they will have a strong opportunity to protect first place and continue their winning start.

AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II prediction from BetMines: AZ Alkmaar win (1) with 62% probability.