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AZ vs Ajax Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | KNVB Beker 14-01-2026

AZ

6 - 0

FT

Ajax

AFAS Stadion
B. Nijhuis
light rain 3.31 °C

Prediction published on Jan 12, 2026 9:04 PM by Dario in Netherlands - KNVB Beker | Modified on Jan 12, 2026 9:04 PM

The KNVB Cup reaches its Round of 16 stage as AZ and Ajax face off on Wednesday, January 14, at 21:00. The clash at the AFAS Stadion promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the round, with both sides eager to continue their cup journey. AZ will look to build on their recent win, while Ajax arrive in Alkmaar in excellent form and with plenty of attacking confidence. With both teams known for their offensive style, this encounter could deliver plenty of excitement and goals.


AZ’s Recent Form and Key Stats


AZ approach this cup tie after a narrow 1-0 victory over FC Volendam on January 10, a result that ended a five-match winless streak before the winter break. In their last five matches across all competitions, AZ have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Their attacking leader this season has been Troy Parrott, who has already netted nine goals and continues to be a decisive figure in front of goal.


At home, AZ have been extremely reliable. They have avoided defeat in 19 of their last 20 home matches and have scored at least once in 19 of those. Their consistency at the AFAS Stadion makes them a tough opponent for any visiting side. In the KNVB Cup, AZ have won their only match so far this season, scoring three goals and conceding one. Historically, their cup games tend to be open affairs, with over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last 15 KNVB Cup fixtures and at least one second-half goal in the last 11.



  • AZ are unbeaten in 19 of their last 20 home matches.

  • Over 0.5 goals in the second half have been scored in 35 of their last 39 matches.

  • AZ have led at half time in 10 of their last 14 home games.

  • Head-to-head record vs Ajax: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 defeats in the last five meetings.


Ajax’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Ajax come into this match in excellent shape, having won 2-3 away at Telstar on January 11. Under their current momentum, they have collected 13 points from their last five Eredivisie matches, showing a clear improvement in performance. Their last five games across all competitions have produced 4 wins and 1 draw, with an impressive average of 3.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Mika Godts has been the standout performer, contributing eight goals and six assists so far this season.


Ajax’s attacking power is undeniable, but their defensive record away from home remains a concern. They have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 16 away matches. Despite that, they have been prolific on the road, with over 2.5 goals scored in each of their last 11 away fixtures. In the KNVB Cup, Ajax have also been dominant, winning their only match this season by scoring seven goals and conceding two. Their matches are rarely dull, with over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last 35 games in the competition.



  • Ajax have not drawn in 21 of their last 22 KNVB Cup matches.

  • Over 0.5 goals at half time have been scored in 20 of their last 22 KNVB Cup games.

  • Ajax have led at half time in 15 of their last 22 KNVB Cup matches.

  • Over 1.5 goals have been scored in their last 18 away matches.


AZ vs Ajax Tactical Overview and Prediction


This KNVB Cup tie brings together two sides with contrasting recent trajectories. AZ have rediscovered some confidence after a difficult run, while Ajax are enjoying a strong spell of form and scoring freely. The home side will rely on their solid record in Alkmaar and the finishing ability of Parrott, whereas Ajax’s attacking depth and creativity could make the difference in key moments.


Historically, AZ have had the upper hand in recent meetings, remaining unbeaten in the last five encounters and winning four of them. However, Ajax’s current momentum and attacking rhythm suggest that this could be a much tighter contest. Both teams have shown a tendency to produce high-scoring matches, and with both attacks in good shape, goals are expected on both ends.


Given the data and recent performances, this match could turn into a thrilling battle where neither side dominates completely. AZ’s home strength and Ajax’s offensive firepower point towards a balanced and entertaining encounter that may well be decided by fine margins.


AZ vs Ajax prediction from BetMines: Draw (X) with 22% probability.

AZ vs Ajax - Predictions

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AZ vs Ajax: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

AZ

Ajax

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

10%

1

90%

9

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

30%

3

70%

7

40%

4

60%

6

3.5

60%

6

40%

4

70%

7

30%

3

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

100%

10

0%

0

BetMines

Standings of AZ and Ajax in KNVB Beker

Who will win ?

AZ vs Ajax: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will AZ vs Ajax be played?
The KNVB Beker match between AZ and Ajax will be played on January 14, 2026 at 20:00.
Where will AZ vs Ajax be played?
The match between AZ and Ajax will be played at AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar - Netherlands
Who will referee AZ vs Ajax?
The referee for the match will be B. Nijhuis.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for AZ vs Ajax in the KNVB Beker?
The odds are: AZ to win 1.90, draw 3.90, Ajax to win 3.50.
What are the betting odds for AZ vs Ajax for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the KNVB Beker?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.47 and Under 2.5 at 2.60.
Will both AZ and Ajax score in the KNVB Beker?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.44, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.62.
What is the most likely correct score for AZ vs Ajax in the KNVB Beker?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 7.5.
What are the head-to-head results between AZ and Ajax?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between AZ and Ajax, AZ won 4 times, Ajax won 0, and 1 ended in a draw.

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