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Prediction published on Jan 8, 2026 5:03 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eredivisie | Modified on Jan 8, 2026 5:03 PM
The upcoming Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and FC Volendam promises to deliver plenty of excitement and attacking football. Scheduled for January 10, 2026, this fixture brings together two sides with contrasting ambitions: AZ aiming to climb back into European contention, and Volendam fighting to escape the lower end of the table. The home side enters the match as clear favourites, but recent inconsistencies have raised questions about their defensive reliability. Meanwhile, Volendam’s struggles on the road suggest they will need a disciplined performance to avoid another setback.
AZ Alkmaar have endured a turbulent run of results, marked by defensive lapses and missed opportunities. Their last outing before the winter break ended in a 4-3 defeat to Fortuna Sittard, a result that highlighted both their attacking potential and defensive fragility. Over their last five matches, AZ have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. In the Eredivisie overall, their record stands at 7 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses, with an average of 1.9 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match.
At home, AZ have been consistently entertaining. Their last 12 home matches in the Eredivisie have all featured over 1.5 total goals, and they have scored in each of those games. In fact, both teams have scored in the last 10 home fixtures, while over 2.5 goals have been recorded in the last nine. The team also tends to start strong, having led at half time in 7 of their last 11 home league games. These numbers underline their attacking intent, but also expose the defensive vulnerabilities that have cost them valuable points.
Despite recent setbacks against top opposition such as PSV and FC Twente, AZ’s offensive structure remains one of the most productive in the league. Their challenge will be to tighten up at the back while maintaining their fluid attacking rhythm. With home advantage and a strong scoring record, AZ will look to dominate possession and create early chances to put pressure on their visitors.
FC Volendam approach this match in a difficult position, sitting 16th in the Eredivisie standings. Their last five matches have yielded no wins, one draw and four defeats, with an average of 0.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. The most recent result, a narrow 1-0 loss to Sparta Rotterdam, extended their poor run and highlighted their ongoing struggles in front of goal. Over the season, Volendam’s record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match.
On the road, Volendam have found it particularly hard to impose themselves. They have lost at half time in each of their last three away league games, and over 0.5 goals have been scored in the first half of their last 11 away fixtures. Their defensive structure often collapses under sustained pressure, and their limited attacking output leaves little margin for error. However, they have shown occasional resilience, as seen in their 1-1 draw with FC Twente earlier in the campaign.
Volendam’s tactical approach in Alkmaar is expected to be pragmatic. They will likely focus on maintaining a compact defensive shape, hoping to exploit AZ’s defensive weaknesses through counterattacks or set pieces. While their recent form offers little optimism, the visitors will aim to frustrate their hosts and capitalize on any lapses in concentration.
Historically, AZ Alkmaar have dominated this fixture. In the last five meetings, they have recorded three wins and two draws, scoring an average of 2.4 goals per game while conceding just 0.8. The most recent encounter ended in a 2-2 draw on August 17, 2025, a result that reflected AZ’s attacking strength but also their defensive instability. Given both teams’ current tendencies, another high-scoring contest seems likely.
AZ’s attacking philosophy, built on quick transitions and creative midfield play, should ensure a steady flow of chances. However, their defensive line has been prone to errors, particularly when facing fast counterattacks. Volendam, on the other hand, will prioritize defensive organization and look to strike on the break. The contrast in styles could produce an open and entertaining match, especially if AZ score early and force the visitors to chase the game.
Considering the attacking trends of AZ Alkmaar and the defensive fragility of FC Volendam, this fixture is expected to produce multiple goals. AZ’s home matches have consistently delivered high-scoring outcomes, while Volendam’s defensive record suggests they will struggle to contain the hosts. Both sides have shown a tendency to concede, which further supports the expectation of an open game.
AZ Alkmaar vs FC Volendam prediction by BetMines:
Over 2.5 goals with 60% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
AZ
FC Volendam
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
3
7
5
5
3.5
6
4
9
1
4.5
9
1
10
0