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Prediction published on Dec 5, 2025 2:04 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eredivisie | Modified on Dec 5, 2025 2:04 PM
On December 7, AZ Alkmaar host Go Ahead Eagles at the AFAS Stadion for the fifteenth round of the Eredivisie season. Both sides have seen their league positions slip in recent weeks, making this clash crucial for their ambitions. AZ are eager to recover from a worrying run of results, while the visitors aim to prove they can compete consistently despite their European commitments. With both teams looking to regain momentum, this fixture promises intensity and attacking football in Alkmaar.
AZ Alkmaar have endured a turbulent spell in the Eredivisie, suffering three consecutive league defeats before bouncing back with a 3-1 away win over PEC Zwolle on December 3. Those earlier losses – 1-0 to FC Twente, 3-1 to SC Heerenveen, and a heavy 5-1 home defeat to PSV Eindhoven – exposed defensive vulnerabilities that coach Pascal Jansen will be keen to address. Despite these setbacks, AZ remain a dangerous attacking side, averaging 1.9 goals scored per game this season while conceding 1.6.
At home, the Cheeseheads have been prolific in front of goal. They have scored in each of their last 17 home matches, with over 1.5 total goals recorded in the last 11 league games at the AFAS Stadion. Furthermore, AZ have found the net in 31 of their last 33 matches across all competitions, underlining their offensive consistency. The team also tends to start strong, having led at half time in 8 of their last 11 home fixtures.
Currently sitting 4th in the Eredivisie with a record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, AZ’s challenge lies in tightening their defense while maintaining their attacking rhythm. The home crowd will expect a response, and with the likes of Pavlidis and Karlsson leading the line, the hosts will look to dominate possession and press high from the outset.
Go Ahead Eagles have experienced a mixed run of results, balancing domestic and European commitments for the first time in years. Their recent 2-2 draw against FC Utrecht showed resilience, but heavy defeats to VfB Stuttgart (4-0) in the Europa League and Heracles Almelo (4-2) in the Eredivisie highlighted defensive frailties. Despite these issues, the Eagles have shown flashes of attacking quality, notably in their 2-1 home win over Feyenoord.
In the league, the Deventer side currently occupy 10th place with 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses. They average 1.6 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, reflecting their open style of play. Away from home, they have been competitive, avoiding defeat at half time in 18 of their last 20 away matches. However, their defense often struggles to maintain concentration, with both teams scoring in the second half in 10 of their last 16 away fixtures.
Coach René Hake’s men will likely rely on quick transitions and set pieces to trouble AZ’s back line. The attacking duo of Lidberg and Edvardsen remains key, but the Eagles must find greater balance between attack and defense if they are to challenge a side of AZ’s caliber on their own turf.
This encounter brings together two teams with contrasting priorities. AZ Alkmaar will aim to reassert their dominance at home, using their attacking depth and high pressing to exploit the Eagles’ defensive lapses. The hosts’ ability to score consistently, especially in the second half – where over 0.5 goals have been recorded in 32 of their last 34 matches – suggests they will look to wear down their opponents over time.
Go Ahead Eagles, on the other hand, have shown determination but lack the defensive solidity required to contain top Eredivisie sides. Their recent performances indicate fatigue from juggling multiple competitions, and their back line has conceded an average of 2.6 goals per game in the last five outings. To stand a chance in Alkmaar, they will need to stay compact and capitalize on counterattacks.
Historically, AZ have dominated this fixture, remaining unbeaten in their last five meetings with the Eagles (3 wins, 2 draws) and averaging 2.8 goals scored per game while conceding just 0.8. The last head-to-head ended in a convincing 3-0 away win for AZ in May 2025. With the home advantage and superior attacking options, the hosts enter this match as clear favorites to secure another victory.
The most likely outcome is a AZ Alkmaar win (1) with a 69% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 19%, while a Go Ahead Eagles win (2) stands at 12%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
AZ
Go Ahead Eagles
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
6
4
4
6
4.5
9
1
6
4