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Prediction published on Aug 29, 2026 4:03 PM by Dario in Brazil - Serie A | Modified on Aug 29, 2026 4:03 PM
Bahia welcome Internacional to Arena Fonte Nova in Salvador on August 30, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 22:30 local time. The teams enter this Serie A fixture in contrasting situations. Bahia sit sixth after building a record of nine wins, ten draws and five defeats, while Internacional are 16th with five victories, ten draws and nine losses. The hosts are unbeaten across their last five matches and recently ended a run of draws by defeating Vitória 2-0. Internacional, meanwhile, have not won any of their latest five games and arrive after a 0-0 Copa do Brasil draw with Grêmio. With home advantage, stronger recent results and more time to focus on the league, Bahia appear to hold the better hand, although Internacional's improved defensive numbers suggest the contest may remain competitive.
Bahia have collected one victory and four draws from their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.2 goals and conceding 0.8 per game. Their most recent outing delivered an important breakthrough, as they won 2-0 away to Vitória on August 23. That result brought an end to a sequence of five consecutive draws and extended their unbeaten run to eight games.
The home side have earned 37 points from 24 Serie A fixtures. Their overall league campaign stands at nine wins, ten draws and five defeats, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Bahia have also found the net at least once in 19 of their last 20 home matches, a record that gives them a clear attacking foundation ahead of this fixture.
Corners have been another recurring feature of Bahia's games. More than 7.5 corners were taken in each of their last 15 matches, while the same threshold was reached in 29 of their last 31 Serie A fixtures. However, Bahia's recent run has been defined more by consistency than dominance, with four draws in their latest five appearances showing that converting control into victories has sometimes been difficult.
Rogério Ceni will be without Jean Lucas, who received his third yellow card after scoring the second goal against Vitória. Léo Vieira remains unavailable while receiving treatment, and Everton Ribeiro is progressing in his recovery but is still expected to miss the match. On the positive side, Ademir has recovered from injury, while Kauê Furquim returns after fulfilling commitments with the Brazil Under-17 team.
Internacional are searching for a much-needed improvement after recording no wins, four draws and one defeat in their last five matches. During that sequence, they averaged only 0.4 goals scored per game, although the defensive average of 0.6 conceded shows that they have become harder to break down.
The visitors have drawn four consecutive league games: 1-1 against Flamengo, 1-1 against Remo, 0-0 against Palmeiras and 0-0 against Atlético-MG. Their latest assignment in all competitions also finished goalless, with Internacional drawing 0-0 against Grêmio on August 27 in the first leg of their Copa do Brasil quarter-final. They have therefore failed to score in their last two matches.
Across the Serie A season, Internacional have five wins, ten draws and nine defeats, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded. Their recent defensive development has helped them avoid further losses, but greater attacking efficiency is required if those draws are to become victories. Another notable trend is that at least one team failed to score before half-time in Internacional's last 20 Serie A matches.
Pezzolano has several confirmed absences. Paulinho Paula, Gabriel Mercado and Bruno Gomes are suspended, while Victor Gabriel also remains out. Allex, Kayky and Rochet are unavailable through injury. Matheus Bahia, however, is back and can be selected for the trip.
The statistical picture gives Bahia an advantage. The hosts have a 59% win probability, compared with 25% for the draw and 16% for Internacional. Bahia are also unbeaten in eight games and have scored in nearly all of their recent home fixtures. Internacional's winless sequence and limited attacking output make this a difficult assignment for the visitors.
The head-to-head record is competitive but also supports Bahia's confidence. Across the supplied five-match summary, Bahia have two wins, two draws and one defeat against Internacional, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The most recent meeting finished 1-0 on March 15, 2026. Bahia are therefore unbeaten in the last three encounters, recording two victories and one draw during that spell.
A high-scoring game is not guaranteed. Both Teams To Score is rated at 46% for Yes and 54% for No, while Under 2.5 goals also carries a 54% probability. Internacional's last two matches ended without a goal from either side, and their four consecutive league draws include two 0-0 results. Bahia's home scoring consistency should nevertheless give the sixth-placed team the stronger route toward all three points.
Bahia: Ronaldo; Román Gómez, David Duarte, Ramos Mingo, Luciano Juba; Nicolás Acevedo, Erick, Rodrigo Nestor; Cristian Olivera, Erick Pulga, Alejo Veliz.
Internacional: Matheus Cunha; Aguirre, Félix Torres, Maripán or Juninho, Matheus Bahia; Villagra, Bruno Henrique, Vitinho or Eliasson, Alan Patrick, Bernabei; Carbonero or Sanabria.
Bahia vs Internacional prediction from BetMines: Bahia win (1) with 59% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Bahia
Internacional
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
3
7
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
6
4
6
4
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
6
4
8
2