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Bahia
7:00 PM
August 9, 2026
Vasco da Gama
Prediction published on Aug 7, 2026 8:03 PM by Dario in Brazil - Serie A | Modified on Aug 7, 2026 8:03 PM
Bahia welcome Vasco da Gama on Sunday, August 9, 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 16:00 Brasília time at Arena Fonte Nova in Salvador. Both teams enter this Serie A fixture unbeaten across their five most recent matches in all competitions, although their league situations are markedly different. Bahia sit fifth after collecting 32 points, while Vasco occupy 18th place with 21 points. The home side have won eight, drawn eight and lost five league games this season, compared with Vasco’s record of five victories, six draws and nine defeats. Recent scoring patterns also provide an important part of the match context: Bahia have consistently found the net at home, whereas Vasco have conceded in 19 of their last 20 Serie A matches.
Bahia approach this contest on a five-match unbeaten run consisting of two victories and three draws. Their latest listed result was a 0-0 draw against Fluminense on July 30. Across those five fixtures, they averaged 1.6 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per match, indicating that their recent sequence has combined productive attacking numbers with improved defensive control.
Over the full Serie A campaign, Bahia have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Their home scoring record is particularly notable: they have registered at least one goal in each of their last 21 home matches across all competitions and in their last 19 home league fixtures. The overall goal count has exceeded 1.5 in 14 consecutive Bahia home games, including 12 in a row in Serie A. However, the Tricolor have also allowed their opponents to score in seven of their last eight matches as hosts, while both sides found the net in 10 of their previous 12 games during the season.
First-half activity has been another recurring feature. At least one goal was scored before the interval in 23 of Bahia’s last 25 matches, in 19 of their previous 21 Serie A fixtures and in 18 of their last 20 home games. Corner numbers have also been high in league action, with more than 7.5 corners recorded in 26 of their last 28 Serie A matches.
Bahia have only the domestic championship to focus on following their exits from the Copa Libertadores and Copa do Brasil. Caio Alexandre trained normally ahead of the fixture, while Léo Vieira and Erick remain unavailable through injury. Erick Pulga is also absent after receiving his third yellow card in the previous round. The team is led by Rogério Ceni.
Vasco da Gama also have two wins and three draws from their last five matches in all competitions, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding 0.8 per game during that period. Their most recent result was a 3-1 victory over Fluminense on August 6. That success followed encouraging performances outside the league, including progression in the Copa do Brasil and Copa Sudamericana.
The broader Serie A picture is less positive for the visitors. Vasco have gone five league rounds without winning, recording four defeats and one draw in that sequence. Their season average stands at 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per league match. The defensive record is the clearest concern, as the team have allowed at least one goal in 19 of their last 20 Serie A fixtures. They have also been behind at halftime in seven of their previous 10 league games.
There have nevertheless been signs of attacking improvement. Vasco scored in four of their last five matches, with both teams getting on the scoresheet in three of those five contests. Their 3-1 win over Fluminense further demonstrated their ability to create and convert chances despite the difficulties reflected in their league position.
Pedro Emanuel has overseen six Vasco matches, producing two wins, three draws and one defeat. For the trip to face Bahia, Nuno Moreira is suspended and Mateus Carvalho is sidelined through injury. The visitors are expected to retain much of the group used in their victory over Fluminense.
The contrast between Bahia’s reliable home scoring and Vasco’s repeated defensive concessions is central to this Serie A match preview. Bahia have scored in 21 consecutive home fixtures, while the visitors have kept only one clean sheet across their last 20 league matches. At the same time, Vasco’s recent attacking output cannot be overlooked after they found the net in four of their last five games and scored three times in their latest outing.
Bahia’s five-game unbeaten sequence is supported by stronger defensive numbers, with only 0.6 goals conceded per match in that run. Vasco have produced the same unbeaten record across their latest five games in all competitions, but their five-round winless streak in Serie A shows the difference between their cup momentum and league form. The hosts therefore enter with the stronger season record, while the visitors arrive encouraged by two recent victories outside that league sequence.
The head-to-head figures suggest a competitive matchup. From the five meetings summarised, Bahia have three wins and Vasco have two
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Bahia
Vasco da Gama
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
1
9
4
6
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
8
2
10
0