On Tuesday, October 21, at the Camp Nou, Barcelona will host Olympiacos in the match valid for the 3rd round of the UEFA Champions League. The Catalans, coming off a 2-1 defeat in the big clash of Matchday 2 against Paris Saint-Germain, currently sit 16th in the overall standings with 3 points. After that setback, Hansi Flick’s team needs to bounce back immediately to improve their position in the table and move closer to the top 8, which guarantees direct qualification for the Round of 16. In this early part of the season, the Spanish champions have once again proven to be the goal-scoring machine admired last year, despite numerous injuries, particularly in the attacking department. The game against Olympiacos is therefore one they cannot afford to fail — both for morale and for the standings — ahead of next weekend’s La Liga super clash against Real Madrid. Olympiacos, on the other hand, have collected just one point so far and travel to Camp Nou aiming to pull off a stunning result to revive their qualification hopes. However, it will be a very tough task considering Barcelona’s strong home record and their clear technical superiority at both domestic and international levels.
Barcelona's form and key stats
By defeating Girona 2-1 in their last La Liga match, thanks to goals from Pedri and Araujo, Barcelona returned to winning ways after back-to-back defeats against Paris Saint-Germain and Sevilla. Their record over the last five matches across all competitions is 3 wins and 2 losses, averaging 1.8 goals scored and conceded per game.
After the first two matchdays of the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League, Hansi Flick’s men sit 16th with 3 points, earned through a 2-1 away win at Newcastle in the opening round and a 1-2 home defeat in the big match against Paris Saint-Germain.
The Spanish champions boast a strong home record, having lost just one of their last eight Champions League matches at Camp Nou. More generally, Yamal and his teammates have won or drawn 13 of their last 15 UCL games.
Olympiacos' form and key stats
Olympiacos, after suffering two consecutive defeats against Arsenal and PAOK, found their rhythm again in the league with a 0-2 win away at AEL Larissa, thanks to a brace from El Kaabi. In their last five matches, the Greek side have recorded 3 wins and 2 losses, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
José Luis Mendilibar’s men have been disappointing so far in the Champions League: they currently sit 29th with just 1 point, the result of a 0-0 draw against Pafos and a 2-0 defeat away to Arsenal. The Greek champions are still searching for their first goal in this European campaign.
Olympiacos Piraeus have shown inconsistent performances away from home at the start of this season: in their last five away games, they have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, keeping a clean sheet only once.
Barcelona vs Olympiacos Prediction by BetMines
Despite the likely absences of key players such as Raphinha, Lewandowski, Ferran Torres, and Dani Olmo, Barcelona remain clear favorites to take all three points against Olympiacos. According to the BetMines algorithm, the home side’s win probability is estimated at 56%, compared to 23% for the visitors.
From a tactical perspective, an open and lively match with several goal-scoring chances is expected. BetMines suggests a high likelihood that both teams will score and that more than two total goals will be recorded. The Over 2.5 goals outcome has occurred in 10 of Barcelona’s 11 matches this season and in 3 of Olympiacos’ last 5.
Supporting the “both teams to score” prediction is another relevant stat: Barcelona have both scored and conceded in each of their last five official matches, while Olympiacos have done the same in four of their last six across all competitions.
Probable lineups Barcelona vs Olympiacos
BARCELONA (4-3-3): Szczesny; Kounde, Araujo, Cubarsi, Martin; De Jong, Garcia, Casado; Yamal, Fermin, Rashford. Coach: Flick
OLYMPIACOS (4-2-3-1): Tzolakis; Costinha, Retsos, Pirola, Ortega; Garcia, Hezze; Martins, Chiquinho, Podence; El Kaabi. Coach: Mendilibar


