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Prediction published on Mar 6, 2025 9:55 AM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Mar 8, 2025 3:16 PM
On La Liga Matchday 27, league leaders Barcelona host Osasuna with a clear objective: to maintain—or even extend—their lead over Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid. The Catalan side heads into this fixture after securing a narrow victory away at Benfica in the Champions League Round of 16. Despite being reduced to ten men after just 22 minutes, Hansi Flick’s team managed to win thanks to a second-half goal by Raphinha. This result allows Barcelona to approach next Tuesday’s second leg with greater confidence. The win against Benfica was yet another demonstration of Barcelona’s impressive form in 2025, as they remain unbeaten this year, extending their streak to 16 consecutive positive results. This run looks set to continue against Osasuna, a side arriving in Barcelona with little to fight for in the league table. Vicente Moreno’s team sits comfortably in mid-table, far from the relegation zone but also too distant from European qualification spots. Despite this, Los Rojillos will likely try to take advantage of any potential fatigue in the Blaugrana squad, given their demanding schedule across La Liga, the Champions League, and the Copa del Rey.
Barcelona, who cruised past Real Sociedad with a dominant 4-0 victory in the last round, currently sit at the top of La Liga with 57 points—one ahead of Atletico Madrid and three ahead of Real Madrid. Flick’s squad is enjoying a six-game winning streak in the league, with their last defeat dating back to December 21st (a 2-1 loss to Atletico Madrid).
The Catalans boast La Liga’s best attacking record, having scored 71 goals at an average of 2.7 per match. At home, they have won their last four league games, accumulating nine wins and three losses, with 33 goals scored and just nine conceded in 12 matches at the Camp Nou.
Osasuna has little left to play for this season, currently sitting 11th in the standings, five points away from sixth place and nine points clear of the relegation zone. In their most recent match, Moreno’s team played out a thrilling 3-3 home draw against Valencia, conceding a late equalizer and missing the chance to close the gap on the European spots.
That result marked Osasuna’s 12th draw of the season, making them La Liga’s most frequent draw specialists. Over their last five league matches, they have recorded three draws, one defeat, and one victory. Their away form has been particularly poor, with just nine points collected on the road and only one away win, dating back to October 27th.
Based on their current form, Barcelona appears to have few challengers, and a slip-up against Osasuna seems unlikely. The last five meetings between these teams at Camp Nou have seen complete dominance from the Blaugrana, who have won all of them while keeping a clean sheet in each encounter.
This Barcelona side is vastly different from the one that suffered a shocking 4-2 defeat at Osasuna earlier this season. Flick’s tactical system is now fully implemented, and the team remains in contention across all competitions.
Osasuna does not seem capable of handing Barcelona their first defeat of 2025, especially considering the absence of Aimar Oroz, who scored twice in their last league outing.
For these reasons, the BetMines algorithm strongly favors Barcelona for the win in this fixture.
Barcelona (4-2-3-1): Szczesny; Koundé, Araújo, Eric García, Balde; Marc Casadó, Pedri; Lamine Yamal, Dani Olmo, Raphinha; Ferran Torres. Coach: Flick.
Osasuna (5-3-2): Sergio Herrera; Areso, Boyomo, Catena, Herrando, Abel Bretones; Moncayola, Lucas Torró, Moi Gómez; Bryan Zaragoza, Budimir. Coach: Moreno.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Barcelona
Osasuna
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
5
5
3
7
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
9
1
9
1