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Prediction published on Apr 23, 2025 5:23 PM by Dario in Spain - Copa Del Rey | Modified on Apr 24, 2025 2:50 PM
On Saturday night, at the La Cartuja Stadium in Seville, Barcelona and Real Madrid meet again just three months after the Spanish Super Cup final to battle for another trophy: the 2024/25 Copa del Rey. The Blaugrana, currently top of La Liga and facing Inter Milan on Wednesday in the first leg of the Champions League semi-finals, could boost their dream of securing a historic third treble (after 2008/09 and 2014/15) by adding the Copa del Rey to their cabinet. Under manager Flick, Barcelona reached this stage by eliminating Barbastro, Real Betis, Valencia, and Atlético Madrid, the latter in a thrilling semi-final tie that ended 5-4 on aggregate (4-4 in the first leg, 1-0 in the second leg). Real Madrid, who are chasing Barcelona in the league, see this final as an essential chance to bring home a second trophy this season after winning the UEFA Super Cup last summer — and to shatter their rivals’ treble hopes. The Blancos made it to the final by defeating Deportivo Minera, Celta Vigo, and Leganés, before overcoming Real Sociedad in extra time thanks to a decisive goal by Antonio Rüdiger. With both teams used to high-stakes matches and hungry for silverware, another spectacular and goal-filled El Clásico seems almost guaranteed.
Despite leading La Liga, Barcelona have shown signs of fatigue in recent weeks. Their last two league wins, against Celta Vigo and Mallorca, were hard-fought, and they also suffered a meaningless defeat in the second leg of their Champions League quarter-final tie against Borussia Dortmund. That loss, however, is their only defeat in their last 27 matches across all competitions.
In this year’s Copa del Rey, the Blaugrana have recorded 4 wins and 1 draw, averaging 3.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per match. The standout performer has been Ferran Torres, who has netted 5 goals and will once again lead the line in place of the injured Robert Lewandowski.
After being knocked out of the Champions League, Real Madrid redirected their focus to the domestic front, securing narrow 1-0 wins over Athletic Bilbao and Getafe in La Liga. The absence of Kylian Mbappé, suspended due to a red card against Alavés, was noticeable, but the French star will be back and available for the final.
Real Madrid’s Copa del Rey campaign includes 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat, with an average of 2.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Their only loss came in regular time during the second leg of the semi-final against Real Sociedad, before Rüdiger’s dramatic extra-time winner sealed their passage to the final.
Barcelona and Real Madrid have faced off twice already this season, both times ending in high-scoring wins for the Catalans: a 4-0 victory in the league and a 5-2 triumph in the Spanish Super Cup final. In fact, the last seven meetings between the two giants have all produced a minimum of three goals.
With this being a one-off final, neither side is expected to hold back. A win for Real Madrid would mark their second trophy of the season, while a Barcelona victory would bring them closer to a potential treble.
Given the attacking firepower and recent history of this clash, the BetMines algorithm prediction for Barcelona vs Real Madrid leans towards a goal-fest, with at least three total goals expected.
Barcelona (4-2-3-1): Szczesny; Kounde, Cubarsi, I. Martinez, Martin; De Jong, Pedri; Yamal, F. Lopez, Raphinha; Torres. Coach: Flick
Real Madrid (4-2-3-1): Courtois; Vazquez, Asencio, Rüdiger, F. Garcia; Tchouaméni, Valverde; Rodrygo, Bellingham, Vinícius; Mbappé. Coach: Ancelotti
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Barcelona
Real Madrid
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
8
2
9
1
4.5
9
1
9
1